Description
The Federal Reserve plans to cut interest rates for the second time this year due to cooling inflation. The anticipated reduction follows the presidential election and aims to adjust to a lower inflation environment, despite potential economic uncertainties stemming from election results. Economists expect a quarter-point cut, reducing the benchmark rate to around 4.6%, following a previous half-point decrease in September. Current economic indicators show strong growth with an unemployment rate at approximately 4.1%.
Chair Jerome Powell noted the recalibration after peak inflation of 9.1% in June 2022, which has since dropped to 2.4%. High borrowing rates are now seen as unnecessary, allowing growth in borrowing-sensitive sectors. The Fed aims to find a benchmark rate that neither constricts nor stimulates growth, with the neutral rate estimated at 2.9% to 3.5%. Discussions on tariffs proposed by Trump may influence future economic policies and inflation forecasts. The Fed emphasizes its independence from political pressures, especially on Election Day.
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