Episode 196: Google Mobility Data versus Corona Virus Mortality. Lock down makes no difference. Surprised? Not if you are a regular listener
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Corona update: The rate of acceleration of corona deaths was slowing and flattening BEFORE the first lock down. Google mobility data show that as people stopped adhering to lock down and after it was lifted death rate fell exponentially opposite to the rise in mobility. In fact no human behaviour has affected the incidence of corona virus apart from a small increase when mask wearing became law in June. We now know corona is less lethal than influenza in the under 70s. Also it is not that infectious. Infections within the same household run at 50%. The rise in mortality now is in line with seasonal rise in respiratory infections in fact this exactly mirrors a small dip in other cause mortality such as flu suggesting that at least some corona deaths are mis-attributed. There was a bigger peak in 2001 with 42,000 deaths. Now there are 39,000 deaths not 55,000. Hospital wards are running at or just above seasonal norm with some regional variation inversely proportional to how severely they were hit in the Spring ie whether the virus passed through there or not before. There is a 50% cross reactivity in immunity from other corona virus infections and between 8-15% the population at least have had corona virus. So a herd immunity is almost already achieved. The virus has sunk in to the flora and fauna of our corona virus subtype milieu. Rushing through a vaccine that 40% of medics in the US say they would refuse to take because it is not thoroughly tested both in terms of efficacy and side effects is not the answer especially when the virus is gone and has a relatively low mutation rate so what immunity there is will persist. The Moderna vaccine has a 21% side effect occurrence and there is a suggestion that one vaccine cross reacts with uterine tissue effectively risking the fertility of women. One of the cleaning products in schools in rat studies increases the risk of neural tube defects and reduces fertility. This is what we are exposing our children to. There are numerous conspiracy theories such as the vaccines containing luciferase which is a bioluminescent marker so we can effectively be branded as having a vaccine and that there is a component that has nano bots that can communicate with apps in your smart phone not one but both ways resulting in total state control . We remain skeptical of this although unfortunately cannot rule anything out as the shear scale of the current determined ignorance and malevolent and or negligent damage to liberty economy society family health beggars belief. 1 year ago the fact that democracies would subject their citizens to a pandemic of festering and acidic and self serving incompetence would have been dismissed as the ramblings of a burnt out delusional alcoholic. Even the World Health Organisation 1 year ago recommended against quarantine once a virus is in the general community and lock down was something not even considered and is still not a recommendation. In reality we think the power of media not just the paparazzi which are their own festering self serving school of mediocrity and baseless gossip but also social media that in an instant can turn anything whether fact or fiction viral and send it spinning round the world. This is then what democratically elected politicians with no training or aptitude to lead have to respond to. People are not stupid in themselves but 98% of everything we do or think is not driven by logic but by our emotion. As a group as a society as a nation people are hard wired to comply and cooperate and respond unquestioningly to hierarchy and authority. Experiments such as the Stanford Prison Experiments, the Milgram Experiments, real atrocities such as the Nazi and Stalin regimes demonstrate this repeatedly and beyond question. Even Stockholm Syndrome where the captive may fall in love with the captor and come to value the torture as a sign of caring
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