Slow growth and Fed cuts help build a good case for bank stocks
Listen now
Description
A slow but steady hand on the cut button The eventual impact of higher rates on credit, the rise of private capital, slow loan growth and forthcoming tighter regulations have all weighed on bank multiples to varying degrees. But these attractive multiples relative to history, combined with a view that rates probably have peaked, keep Ebrahim Poonawala constructive on the bank group. This is particularly true for money center banks and large regionals, which are less impacted by regulatory changes coming in the wake of last year's bank failures. Ultimately, Ebrahim believes that the value of a bank comes down to the stickiness of its customer deposit base and the services it provides its customers. And certainly, there are a number of banks across the size spectrum that have attractive franchises from that standpoint. And the possibility of M&A, especially as there remain 4,000+ banks in the US, is also a key driver and one that will have disproportionate impact on small and mid-sized banks. The trajectory of Fed policy is a key consideration for the group and if the market were to move to price in a hike, that's a risk.   You may also enjoy listening to the Merrill Perspectives podcast, featuring conversations on the big stories, news and trends affecting your everyday financial life.   "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2024 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.
More Episodes
HY issuance recovers but net new credit largely absent Spreads in the US high yield market are near the tightest levels ever, providing a constructive read on the US economy. Tight spreads and lower rates have led to a pickup in HY issuance, which recently approached more normal levels, but that...
Published 10/30/24