Our guest for this episode is Lars Tvede, entrepreneur, investor, and author. His book Supertrends is available in Chinese: 《逃不开的大势》. We met in Shanghai, to discuss his book and technology trends.  本期嘉宾：拉斯·特维德(Lars Tvede)，知名投资人、企业家。著有畅销书《逃不开的经济周期》、《金融心理学》、《逃不开的大势》等作品，中信出版社出版。 bookmarks: 00:49 - motivation for the book Supertrends. Innovation and technology progress leading to a future of hyper-abundance. 14:25 - AI and fusion technology have always been "20 years away". What's different this time.  21:12 - Ted Chiang's argument that AI cannot create art. The concept of "self-play". 31:03 - importance of meaning and intention in artistic expression. Can AI possess feelings and consciousness? Embodied experiences. 37:39 - recent impact of AI on competitive board game playing. The potential of personal AI to enhance human experiences, helping individuals discover their talents and passions. 45:51 - impact of AI on human agency and decision-making. The joy of learning and the importance of making mistakes in personal growth. The dual nature of technology, which can both empower and lead to complacency. 51:18 - the evolving startup scene in Europe. Contrasting the European startup landscape with Silicon Valley. Challenges in securing large investments for growth stage European startups. 53:56 - the emerging field of anti-aging research. Humans may soon have access to treatments that can slow or even reverse aging. Potential societal implications and safety concerns associated with these advancements. 00:49 - 《逃不开的大势》创作动机。创新和技术进步将带来物质极大丰富的未来。 14:25 - 人工智能和核聚变在过去一直是遥不可及的技术。这次有什么不同。 21:12 - Ted Chiang 观点：人工智能无法创造艺术。“自我对弈”概念。 31:03 - 艺术创作中，意义和意图 (meaning and intention) 的重要性。人工智能能否拥有情感和意识？拥有物理身体的体验。 37:39 - 近期人工智能对竞技棋类游戏的影响。个人人工智能 (personal AI) 增强人类体验的潜力，帮助个人发现自己的才能和激情。 45:51 - 人工智能对人类自主性和决策的影响。学习的乐趣和犯错在个人成长中的重要性。技术既能赋予能力也可能导致失去努力动力。 51:18 - 欧洲初创企业生态。欧洲创业与硅谷的不同。欧洲成长型初创企业融资的挑战。 53:56 - 新兴的抗衰老研究领域。人类可能很快能够使用延缓甚至逆转衰老的方法。这些进步可能带来的社会影响和安全问题。 Links: Lars Tvede, Supertrends《逃不开的大势》 Ted Chiang, "Why AI isn't going to make art"