Why do we crave certainty? One week after the election, we’re still wondering how the polls were so wrong— but hasn’t this need for certainty been with us since the dawn of humanity? In this episode, we take a trip back in time to meet a few of our Paleolithic ancestors struggling in the face of some very era-specific uncertainty, before leaping forward in time to experience a most unusual game show. Meanwhile, Matt sits down with David Robinson, principal data scientist at Heap, to discuss probabilistic modeling, the rise of prediction markets, and why the future may be uncertain, but that doesn’t mean it’s scary.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices