Episodes
In this episode, Mark Thornton discusses Consumer Confidence as a reliable indicator of the current economy. Individual components of the index are declining, but do not yet indicate a looming crisis or recession. Mark thinks that it does indicate, along with other economic statistics, of a clear worsening in the economy and his predictions for 2024.
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Published 05/04/24
In this week's episode, Mark examines the Chocolate Crisis of 2024. Cocoa prices have skyrocketed. The media is trying to paint this as another example of the ravages of Climate Change, but the market is making all of its typical adjustments to ensure that chocolate products continue to flow to consumers, and also making adjustments to improve the long-term conditions.
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Published 04/27/24
In this week's episode, Mark takes another look at the Producer Price Index. As suggested in an episode from September 2023 (see Mises.org/MI_35), the PPI has indeed leveled off and is no longer "contributing" to the Federal Reserve's "Immaculate Disinflation." Mark points out that wholesale price increases are already in the long PPI "pipeline" and will likely make the Fed's announced plans fall apart.
Additional ResourcesPPI at Fred: Mises.org/MI_67A
PPI 2022: "The Producer Price Index" at...
Published 04/19/24
The inflation news from the Federal Reserve is once again disappointing. All the measures were up and higher than predicted by the experts. Mark recaps this news and compares his guesses about the economy to the forecasts of the Federal Reserve and Wall Street economists. Mark also reiterates his predictions about rate cuts and the economy.
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Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization at...
Published 04/13/24
What happens when war shuts down the Strait of Hormuz? Mark looks at the economics and causes of a growing list of problems with the "chokepoints" of international trade: the Panama Canal, the Suez Canal, and Baltimore harbor. Will these chokepoints become scapegoats for the Federal Reserve, and could war closing the Strait of Hormuz become a genuine world crisis?
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Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys...
Published 04/06/24
In this week’s episode, Mark links the Global Climate change agenda to the old “Population Bomb” of the 1970s. He shows that climate alarmists are really de-populationists in environmentalist clothing—both of which run counter to science and promote personal, irrational agendas.
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Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 03/30/24
In this episode, Mark shares the latest video in the Mises Institute's The Costs of the Progressives series, "The Drug War," which cites Mark's research on the economics of prohibition.
"The Costs of the Progressives" is a historical series that focuses on great leaps in Washington's consolidation of power on a variety of issues that affect our day-to-day lives, and the costs we pay with our taxes and our liberty: Mises.org/Progressivism
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Published 03/23/24
In this week's episode, Mark looks at the opportunities ahead of us for significant reforms and dismantling the State. Increasingly, more people realize that the government has been lying to them and working against their interests. Many also realize that Austrian economists, in contrast with Mainstream economists, have been presenting the true picture of the State. The political landscape has already shifted—and continues to shift—beneath the State, like an earthquake under a teetering third...
Published 03/16/24
In this week's episode, Mark examines Ludwig von Mises's important contributions to free trade theory. Free trade is more important than people think, and most government intervention is protectionist—or aids the promoters of protectionism.
Trade causes civilization to come about. Protectionism is the greatest threat to our way of life, and a danger to human life, itself.
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Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys...
Published 03/09/24
In this week's episode, Mark examines the increasing prospects of global warfare and the catastrophic results. Even if such a war can be averted, it might open an opportunity for the global elites to impose their agenda of enslaving humanity.
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Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 03/02/24
In this week's episode, Mark looks at the type information that investors need, but do not have. These anti-wild cards are going to appear in the economy, but no one really knows what, where, or when. Mark looks back at some historical examples.
See also Surprised Again! The Covid Crisis and the New Market Bubble by Alex Pollock and Howard Adler: Mises.org/MI_59A
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Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys...
Published 02/24/24
In the old days, the Federal Reserve operated in obscurity "behind the curtain". Today, they are front-and-center for the stock market. Total credit card debt in the US is now over $1.1 Trillion. In this episode, Mark looks at the disconnect between the Fed, the stock market (featured in the last episode), and the Real Economy.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 02/17/24
In this week's episode, Mark takes a quick look back at Fed wisdom in the year 2000, and then surveys today's stock market—and, in particular, the Magnificent Seven stocks, which represent very narrow leadership of the overall stock market.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 02/10/24
Mark talks about the Fed's Reverse Repo Operations, which explain the conundrum of the Fed's "tight" monetary policy and new record highs in the stock market. It turns out that the Fed is not a bunch of "tightwads" after all, but has served up a nearly $2 trillion monetary injection since the bond market cratered last year.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Dr. Guido Hülsmann's How Inflation Destroys Civilization at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 02/03/24
In this week's episode, we replay Mark's recent appearance on the Rob Taylor Report. Mark and Rob take a deep look at the practical impact of socialist ideology in Oregon when mixed with the partial "decriminalization" of all hard drugs in the state. The main issues they discuss are the lack of respect for private property rights, and woke government causing social chaos in Oregon; but, it's a lesson for everyone, everywhere.
The Rob Taylor Report is available online...
Published 01/27/24
In this week's episode, Mark compares two definitions of inflation and what this means for policy-makers and the productive population in 2024. The mainstream view creates nothing but confusion and smokescreens, while the Austrian definition shows that the true definition shows a much higher level of economic pain and uncertainty and more economic problems to come in 2024.
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Published 01/20/24
On this week's episode, Mark opens the Congressional Political Playbook to examine the proposed Congressional compromise spending legislation—and what they might name it.
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Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 01/13/24
This week's episode begins 2024 by looking at the growing political divide among the American people—and how to solve it.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 01/06/24
In this episode, Mark looks back at 2023 as a great year for the goals and prospects of the Mises Institute moving forward, but a very bad year for the State.
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Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 12/30/23
Stock and bond markets are abuzz this week over Chairman Jay Powell's hints of a "Fed Pivot" in interest rate policy. Mark Thornton explains why this optimism is badly misplaced.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 12/23/23
In this week's episode Mark explains the term "Greenwashing" and describes how Austrian economists might agree with the sentiment behind it. Are Austrian school economists against the environment? Mark thinks not and explains why.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Published 12/16/23
The Wall Street Journal reported last month that the ballot initiative to decriminalize all drugs in the state of Oregon is failing, and that efforts are underway to recriminalize hard drugs. Mark points out that decriminalizing drug possession does nothing to improve black market production of drugs, which makes drugs much more dangerous to consume. More importantly, it is Oregon's socialist ideology that coddles homelessness and open hard drug use that is the real problem for the good...
Published 12/09/23
In this week's episode, Mark looks at "All-Time Highs" in such things as stocks, real estate, and stock indexes. Housing prices hit an all-time high this week, and gold is not far behind. While all-time highs—or even "new highs"—are unambiguously good for owners of these assets, it is much more ambiguous as a signal about the future. Gold might be an exception to this rule, as Mark explains.
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Published 12/02/23
In this week's episode, Mark looks at the implications of famed investor Jim Chanos shutting down his hedge fund which specialized in shorting stocks. The closure comes as stock markets in the US hit all time record highs. Mark frames these two events in light of the Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.
Additional Resources
"The Social Function...
Published 11/21/23
In this week's episode Mark reports on Pimco's former financial guru Mohamed El-Erian and his new views on the Fed. Mark also does some minor deconstruction of recent financial news to paint a clearer picture of imminent recession—something mainstream economists will be reluctant to call until 2025.
Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues.
Published 11/17/23