Description
In part three of our national debt masterclass, we share a simple debt dynamics formula we can monitor to help guide our investment choices.
Topics covered include:How much has the national debt grown over the past fifties years, and what are the underlying driversHow the budget deficit, interest rates, and economic growth determine the level and growth in the national debtUnder what circumstances will the U.S. default on its debtHow should we invest to protect ourselves from the uncertainties of the national debt situation
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Show Notes
Jerome Powell: Full 2024 60 Minutes interview transcript—CBS News
Yellen says she disagrees with Moody's outlook on US debt by Ann Saphir and David Lawder—Reuters
IMF Steps Up Its Warning to US Over Spending and Ballooning Debt by Christopher Condon—Bloomberg
WHEN DOES FEDERAL DEBT REACH UNSUSTAINABLE LEVELS?—Penn Wharton
The Long-Term Budget Outlook: 2024 to 2054—Congressional Budget Office
PUBLIC DEBT AND LOW INTEREST RATES by Olivier J. Blanchard—NBER
Bond vigilantes snooze as Treasury market shrugs off vast US borrowing by Kate Duguid—The Financial Times
Term Premium on a 10 Year Zero Coupon Bond—FRED
Instantaneous Forward Term Premium 10 Years Hence—FRED
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We explore what strategy and systems are and how we craft and change them. We consider how investment strategies and financial systems have changed over the decades and why this matters to your financial decisions.
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