Description
Today in
the podcast, we take a deep dive into the outlook for the US equity market from
the S&P 500 all the way down to Small Caps. Three big things you need to
know: First, we are sticking with our YE2023 S&P 500 price target of 4,250.
Though upside risks remain, downside risks have grown, the outlook has become
cloudier and we don’t think the pause in the S&P 500 rally that we called
for in early August is done yet. Second, we continue to believe that Large Cap
Growth is in need of a tactical correction, but we also acknowledge its
longer-term fundamental appeal which is why we think the leadership transition
has been so tough. Third, Small Caps remain intriguing from a valuation and
earnings perspective, but have been dragged down by balance sheet concerns,
rising bond yields, and lingering economic angst.
Two big things you need to know: First, valuations continue to look full for 2024 on the S&P 500, but our model argues for upside in 2025. Second, there’s a lot of little stuff to talk about right now. We run a few of the key updates on our high frequency indicators including those on the...
Published 09/23/24
Two big things you need to know: First, a few things (besides renewed optimism over a 50 bps cut) went right for Small Caps last week. Second, we highlight our current, top-down US equity market read throughs from the domestic policy platforms of the Harris and Trump campaigns. The longer-term...
Published 09/16/24