Welcome to Risky Business, a show about making better decisions. Today, Maria has lessons from a poker tournament she recently played in Monte Carlo, where she made it to the final table. Then, Nate discusses what RFK Jr.’s impressive polling numbers could mean for Biden and Trump. And Nate and Maria discuss Caitlin Clark and what her story tells us – or doesn’t – about the gender pay gap.  Further Reading: The Biggest Bluff by Maria Konnikova On The Edge by Nate Silver (forthcoming) "RFK Jr. Says Doctors Found a Dead Worm in His Brain" (NYT) "What the conversation about Caitlin Clark’s pay gets wrong" (CNN) For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters. The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.