Description
Kalshi, a company that offers prediction markets, sued the US government in an effort to legalize betting on elections. Nate and Maria discuss the pros and cons of election prediction markets. Plus, Nate gives an election update and Maria learns what to do when there’s no plus-EV move.
Further Reading:
Ready Your Bets: Election gambling is going mainstream in the US from Politico
Election Betting Halted After Appeals Court Agrees to Hit the Breaks from WSJ
Betting On Elections Can Tell Us A Lot. Why Is It Mostly Illegal? from the New Yorker
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Nate and Maria discuss the influence of Riverians like Elon Musk on the Trump Administration, and what’s next for Democrats looking ahead to 2026. Then, Maria tells Nate about a few key hands from the penultimate table of the North American Poker Tour Main Event.
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Published 11/14/24
Nate and Maria take a closer look at the results of the election. They discuss polling errors, prediction markets, demographic shifts, and campaign strategy. And Nate shares some parting advice for President Biden.
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Published 11/06/24