Description
2023 wrap-up for the wine business
Topics we covered in 2023
Sustainability (8-part series that had Drew Bledsoe to CEO of Silver Oak David Duncan and across the world from the US to Spain to Bordeaux)State of the Wine Collector (LA, Dallas)Leveraging non-gov’t organizations (VDP, Grand Pagos) to promote wineRevenge travel
Post-Covid move back to in-person / offices -> delivery of wine -> reduced visitors to wine country and people buying wine to stock and drink at homeAmericans Took Record-Setting Vacations In Summer Of ‘Revenge Travel’ - 32.8% of households went on vacation (a record since data kept in 2015)Online retailer issues - Underground Cellar (April 2023), SommSelect (July 2022), Winc (Nov 2022, 1 year after going public) all went bankrupt, others struggling back to 2019 or even lower levels
More missing bottles w/ Sherry Lehman (~Mar - Aug 2023), Chelsea wine storageInflation / economic slowdown globally and impact on wine market
Bleak outlook for 2024 as fine wine buyers narrow their focus - Liv-Ex indexes down double digits year to date; “flight to quality” - Bordeaux benefiting, Burgundy, Champagne downInflation is used as the “reason” many wineries increase wine pricesBBC article on wine pricing increasing - glass, labor, fruit - all getting more expensive and wineries increasing price; and burgundy/napa/champagne got very expensive, consumers starting to pull backMany napa wines taking prices up to $300+ (Memento Mori - $225 -> $300)Chinese consumption is as low as 1996 levels, - the peak of 19.6M HL in 2017 to 8.8M HL in 2022 (#8 globally) vs. US in the top slot at 34M HLGlobal health/wellness; Millenial/Gen Z slowing down alcohol consumption
WHO says no alcohol is good for you (released a statement Jan 2023)Gen Z drink 20% less than Mill, who drink less than prior generations - college-age abstainers went from 20% -> 28% in the last 20 years (to 2020) Better non-alc and low-alc alternatives (kombucha, pot, mushrooms, better no/lo options for alcohol)Is wine part of the good life?
Wine, particularly fine wine, is used differently than beer & spirits; it is also better from a health perspective The Wine Access interview re-emphasized - the experiences with wineThe Italian lifestyle / holy trinity of the good life - cheese, wine, & bread Get access to library episodes
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