Episodes
The nuanced impacts of inflation to companies’ balance sheets that investors might be missing.   Highlights: How inflation can present major challenges to businesses Why investors need to look more closely at maintenance capital expenditures and depreciation expenditures—e.g., Dollar General A return to accounting basics and monitoring inventory balances—e.g., Johnson & Johnson
Published 03/01/23
Chief Investment Officer Paul Moroz shares takeaways from the Research team's annual post-mortem discussions.   Highlights: The cyclical—and long-term—aspect to investment learnings Why interest rake hikes were a big factor and topic of conversation “Fishtailing” and the difficulties of trying to right-size information How emotional intelligence makes for better decision making “Simplify, clarify, focus” and offsetting the toll of complexity in processes
Published 02/22/23
Portfolio Manager Crista Caughlin walks listeners through the tumultuous bond market experiences of 2022 and outlines three main economic scenarios the team is monitoring for 2023.   Highlights: Are reports of the 60/40 portfolio’s death greatly exaggerated? 2022 recap: What happened in bond markets? How can the yield curve un-invert? Key takeaways from researching Canadian household debt levels Adjustments to the portfolio: What changes have we made?
Published 02/08/23
Some of the main challenges facing the continent, what we gleaned from visiting over 45 companies, and ESG considerations that are front of mind for major European investment firms. Highlights: Our thoughts on the prevailing macro concerns—e.g., inflation energy crisis “Collective corporate memory” and why the history of Europe is an important and unique context—particularly seen from a bottom-up perspective (e.g., Kuehne+Nagel, Lonza, Givaudan, SGS, Reckitt, Anglo American, Roche)...
Published 01/25/23
A review of last quarter, the major themes and takeaways from 2022, and what’s on the horizon for the new year. Highlights: How we did—and what factors impacted relative performance Why 2022 was difficult for Balanced investors Discount rates have gone up…where are valuations at? Inflation expectations, interest rates, labour markets, earnings, and economic growth—what’s being monitored in 2023 Asset mix update
Published 01/16/23
What investors can learn from the s-curves of technologies both old and new. Highlights How S-curves relate to TAM (total addressable market)—and what piqued our interest about them in the first place Types of S-curves Where different technologies fall into an S-curve: E.g., cars, refrigerators, landlines, TVs, Kindles, USB ports, and biologic drugs Are S-curves getting steeper?
Published 12/28/22
What we think about the newly proposed tax on share buybacks in Canada, a balanced take on the energy theme, and where we’ve trimmed, exited, and added in the portfolio.   Highlights: Which sectors may be most affected by the buyback tax Holdings that showed strong fundamentals throughout this year’s volatility—e.g., Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor, Loblaws, Dollarama, and more Canadian real estate recap—e.g., Choice Properties and Granite REIT How we approach assessing big C-suite...
Published 12/14/22
How do investors figure out what a company is worth? (Especially in a higher inflationary and interest rate environment?)   Highlights Why doing a qualitative assessment of each company is our first filter How we try to determine valuations without missing the actual fundamentals (e.g., Trisura and Kinsale) and why valuation is only one input in the investment decision-making process When DCF modelling can actually help us better understand the drivers of the business—e.g., Colliers—and...
Published 11/23/22
A deep dive—right to the atomic level—of how semiconductors work and the potential implications for the industry when Moore’s Law comes to an end.   Highlights The transistor—a brief history What is a semiconductor? Why are they special? (Hint: atomic-level, laser precision manufacturing) HSMC, ASML, Amazon, KLA, Samsung—what the end of Moore’s Law might mean for various businesses in the semiconductor value chain Potential impacts to global productivity Will Rob continue to be...
Published 11/16/22
The deglobalization shift, long-term opportunities we’re seeing in utilities, and what’s interesting about gravel. Highlights: Impacts of currency swings and a strong U.S. dollar at the portfolio and company level Why we’re shifting to more domestic companies: E.g., Texas Instruments, Martin Marietta, Paychex The long-term runway potential for utilities—and renewables: E.g., Southern Company, AEP, Amphenol, and Linde How we’re adding resiliency to prepare for any scenario: E.g.,...
Published 11/09/22
The “Swiss cheese” mental model for risk management, why we initiated in Moderna, and how to test if you have a variant perception from the broader market.
Published 10/26/22
Market swings, central bank moves, and rising interest rates. A look at Q3.
Published 10/18/22
What makes the U.S. mid cap investable universe unique, some key learnings since the strategy’s launch, and how inflation can be a “positive” for wealth-creating companies.
Published 09/07/22
Why small caps may zig while large caps zag, the advantage of businesses that sell scarce skills (CBIZ, Insperity, RS Group), and why eyewear retail is harder than it…looks.
Published 08/24/22
The impacts of inflation, interest rates, and sharp currency movements on the portfolio, and the importance of leaning in to process and keeping a long-term perspective.
Published 08/03/22
The team debates the thesis that renewables are becoming “cheaper” than traditional energy sources, unpacks why the ultimate cost to the end consumer shouldn’t be missing from the conversation, and delves into the investment implications.
Published 07/20/22
Inflation, interest rates, the valuation correction, bias creep, and “sticking to our knitting.” A full dive into Q2.
Published 07/13/22
CIO Paul Moroz unpacks the foundational components to better decision making for investing, business, and life.
Published 06/29/22
Lead Portfolio Manager, Crista Caughlin, on what’s happening in bond markets, a look at inflation and interest rates, and the key scenarios we’re monitoring.
Published 06/22/22
Opportunities and risks we’re seeing in energy, rail, and financials; why we exited Shopify; and a few team learnings.
Published 06/08/22
What DevOps is and why it’s a theme with investment potential.
Published 05/25/22
On building a “global investment franchise” and balancing the trade-offs between creativity, efficiency, and process to build a consistent environment for better investment decisions.
Published 05/11/22
Russia, the potential parallels to Taiwan and China, and macro to micro portfolio considerations in an inflationary environment.
Published 04/27/22
iTunes: CIO Paul Moroz shares his take on what’s happening in the markets, some of the underlying factors behind recent performance, and a reminder that the wheels of capitalism will continue to turn.
Published 04/20/22
Portfolio Managers Grayson Witcher and Colin Wong share market observations, industries where fundamentals are shifting, and a few recent additions to the portfolio.
Published 04/13/22