While Japan and China have received a lot of attention in recent years for their unfavourable demographics, James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC, points to research showing that much of the world is facing similar conditions. This is a fact that goes largely unreported yet could have enormous impacts on the global economy.  Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC https://bit.ly/38Y9plu EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important...

Is there a 'no-landing' scenario for the global economy? Moz talks to Chris Senyek, Chief Investment Strategist at Wolfe Research about the unexpected strength of the US and global economy, with inflation numbers going in the right direction and the market bull run extending its 18 month run, repeatedly proving sceptics wrong. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Chris Senyek, Chief Investment Strategist at Wolfe...

In the world of Healthcare, few recent innovations have caused as much of a stir as the emergent GLP-1 agonist drugs, which have proven to have a material impact on weight loss. In this episode Moz is joined by New Capital's Mike Clulow and Chelsea Wiater to talk through what GLP-1s are, how they work and the potentially far reaching impacts they may have on the consumer staples and healthcare industries.  Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guests: Mike Clulow, Senior Portfolio...

This week we dive into the little-known world of Catastrophe Bonds, a sub category of Insurance Linked Strategies, exploring how they work and their potential upsides and downsides. To help understand this unique instrument, Moz is joined by Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at Twelve Capital.  Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Rhodri Morris, Head of ILS Analytics at Twelve Capital https://bit.ly/3V9phuR EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The...

As the US economy eyes a soft landing with inflationary pressures easing, Moz talks to Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research about when the Fed will be cutting rates. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Neil Dutta, Partner, Head of Economic Research, Renaissance Macro Research https://www.renmac.com/neil-dutta/ EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as...

At the end of January 2024, Moz Afzal and Stefan Gerlach attended a series of meetings with public and private sector stakeholders in Singapore and Hong Kong. Top of mind was the strength of the Chinese economy, its housing market and what the future may hold for the largest market in Asia. In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz and Stefan recap these conversations and what the key takeaways are. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist,...

In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we revisit a talk from our Investment Summit on 9th January 2024. Dan Clifton, Partner and Head of Policy Research for Strategas Securities. In an unprecedented year of elections across the world, the US presidential race looms largest. What factors really impact the outcome? Does anyone actually want either Biden or Trump? Could there be a third party challenger? Listen in. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Dan Clifton,...

Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q1 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication, as the general consensus outlook for the world economy indicates a soft landing and declining inflation. In the longer term, important cross currents such as the drive to net zero, changing global demographics and the shifting roles of emerging economies all impact prospects. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our...

AI, war in Ukraine, banking failures and the battle to control inflation have dominated headlines and, to some degree, financial markets in 2023. To cap the year off, this was followed by an historic market rally in the final quarter. Moz and Daniel take a look back at the year that was 2023 and offer some thoughts about what this means for the start of 2024. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of...

Recorded 14th December 2023. Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray recap key findings from their recent trip to Washington DC, shedding light on US policymakers' thinking on the upcoming US election, the risk of recession, CPI data and more. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of Research: https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2 Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG https://bit.ly/3veyR4U EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The value of investments and the income derived...

Recorded 1st November 2023. Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research shares his thoughts on current market sentiment and seasonality plays going into the winter. Jeff shares what RenMac's Market Cycle Clock indicators are saying, balanced against a more bearish yield impact model and a surprisingly strong US economy. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Jeff deGraaf, CMT, CFA, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance...

Our host, Moz, joins Chris Tucci, an Imperial College Business School professor of digital strategy and innovation, on an insightful journey into the impact of AI on digital innovation. Delve into AI's potential effects on employment and its promising applications in marketing, video game coding, and media. Discover Chris's AI Applications and Innovation MSC program, designed to educate students in machine and deep learning. Explore the role of trust and differentiation in the AI era, the...

Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q4 2023 Insights document.  We've been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of certain economies this year, especially the US, Brazil, and India. Our team, including Paul Temperton, Stefan Gerlach, Daniel Murray, GianLuigi Mandruzzato, Joaquin Thul, and Sam Jochim, discuss these economic patterns and their implications. As we navigate the current landscape, we also focus on the return of real yields in fixed-income markets and speculate on...

On this episode of Beyond The Benchmark, we dive into the mind of a remarkable neuroscientist, Pascal Kaufmann. His academic prowess ranges from ancient Greek and Latin studies to his groundbreaking exploration of the connection between brains and robots. Pascal's ventures StarMind and Mindfire are pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence and crowdsourcing in an effort to understand the complexities of the human brain. We then shift gears to discuss the innovative approach Pascal...

This week on Beyond the Benchmark Moz is joined by Melanie Beyeler, Fund Manager of the New Capital Climate Transition Fund. Melanie explains both her passion for the strategy, and the proprietary analysis process that the team uses to cut through the noise and select the right stocks for the Fund. As the conversation progresses, she details examples of the types of companies that are picked, the importance of accurately assessing management teams to maintain the integrity of the strategy,...

On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risks in the labor market, the effects of bank failures, and the need to avoid a stop-and-go policy.  As the conversation progresses, we also examine...

With Daniel Murray hosting the podcast this week, we welcome EFGAM's Head of Alternatives, Jerome Berset to the show. Jerome explains the precipitous fall from favour hedge funds faced in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis, followed by the return of interesting new opportunities in the space today.  Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO & Global Head of Research at EFGAM: https://bit.ly/3tNPXSK Our guest: Jérôme Berset, Head of Alternatives at...

Join Moz as we uncover the reality of the 'white collar recession' and how it's affecting our economy, with expert insights from Dennis DeBusschere of 22V Research. We shed light on the trends in layoffs and unemployment claims, along with the role of the big seven tech stocks in influencing investor sentiment. We also navigate the challenges portfolio managers are facing in trying to match the performance of these tech giants and examine the divide in traditional safety sectors. The second...

With the theme of 'finding a new balance' in Q3 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. From central bankers' meetings to pandemic resilience, they delve into returning inflation to its ideal state, discuss the Eurozone's economic challenges, the Bank of England's inflation strategy, and the impact of Brexit on wage growth. They also compare China and Japan's economic challenges, analyze housing prices, celebrate Brazil's successes, and more.  Our host,...

Artificial Intelligence has not been far from investors' thoughts since late 2022, when OpenAI's ChatGPT became widely available in its open test environment. In this episode Moz talks through some of the opportunities in the value chain of this burgeoning sector with Jonathan Rawicz, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital. From cloud services, GPUs and applications to consumer content creation, the technology has the promise to revolutionise the way business is done and how humans interact...

EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach shares his views on how monetary policy tightening may be reaching its peak, the challenges that still remain in the global economy and what the lagged impacts of 12 months of interest rate raises might be, and when they would take effect. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG bit.ly/3mz6t8V EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The value of investments and the income derived from...

Larry Jeddeloh is the Editor of The Institutional Strategist, and Founder of TIS Group. In this wide ranging conversation, Larry draws upon his experience of conversations with an enormous network of contacts, covering the long term potential weakness of the dollar, AI disruption, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the worrying and persistent surprises in equity and bond markets brought about in part by inflation. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest, Larry Jeddeloh,...

With a quartet of concerns dominating Q2 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. Financial stability, sticky inflation, growth and geopolitical risks are all under the microscope, with an interesting parallel to the 'long eighteenth century' from 1689 to 1815.  Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guests: Daniel Murray https://bit.ly/3tNPXSK Paul Temperton http://tier.co.uk/ Joaquin Thul https://bit.ly/3d7QWGl GianLuigi...

Jens Larsen, Director of Global Macro-Geoeconomics at Eurasia Group, talks us through some of the primary Geoeconomic risks that Eurasia Group are currently tracking. Against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine war, relations between the US and China have been thrown into sharp relief, while the global economy is still reeling from the impacts of the energy crisis. Jens provides a nuanced and thoughtful commentary on the potential impacts of these risks over the coming years.  Our host, Moz...