Episodes
With Stephen Perrenod, we explore how the Kelly Criterion can help you build a more effective investment portfolio. We dive into its application for Bitcoin and MicroStrategy stock (MSTR), offering a step-by-step look at optimizing risk and reward.
Stephen brings a wealth of knowledge to the table. With degrees from MIT and Harvard, he’s an astrophysicist who pioneered computer models of galaxy clusters before transitioning to high-performance computing, AI, and Big Data. His unique...
Published 11/24/24
With Bitcoin breaking the ATH, our analyses indicate that we are entering the FOMO stage of the bull market where the most rapid moves will occur.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future:
https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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Published 11/21/24
We're thrilled to host Kevin Loaec, CEO of Wizardsardine, a leader in Bitcoin security. In this discussion, we'll explore the evolving landscape of Bitcoin self-custody, diving into the latest tools and future innovations.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the...
Published 11/19/24
Is Bitcoin gearing up for its next explosive move? 🚀 In this video, we dive into the market dynamics, key indicators, and macroeconomic trends driving Bitcoin's recent pump—and why this rally might just be getting started. 💹
We’ll explore:
- The catalysts fueling Bitcoin's surge 📈
- Insights into market sentiment and on-chain metrics
- How institutional interest is reshaping Bitcoin
Published 11/17/24
In this episode, hosts Sina and PlanC sit down with guest Cory Klippsten to discuss Bitcoin’s potential as a financial tool in a turbulent world. They dive into Bitcoin’s role as a unique asset, addressing challenges like regulatory pressures and transparency issues in traditional financial systems. Cory offers his perspectives on responsible Bitcoin adoption and the significance of self-sovereignty, sharing insights into the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency. Sminston joins the...
Published 11/16/24
We discuss whether Bitcoin 118x market cap multiplier proposed by BOA is correct.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the...
Published 11/11/24
We dived deep into MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock to help investors and Bitcoin enthusiasts understand its unique value and potential.
We discussed what makes MSTR's bullish case so compelling, break down how to really value the stock, and bust some common myths around it.
Topics we discussed:
- MSTR’s bold $42B capital-raising plan: what it means for investors and the potential long-term impacts.
- Why the NAV premium above 1 could be justified and how it plays into MSTR’s investment...
Published 11/07/24
What I learned today from the discussion today
- SH Supply: Short-term holders are in profit and have ~2M coins in profit
- SH MVRV: This profit is only +14% (historically very low)
- SH NUPL: They are not realizing profits by any significant amount and instead wait for higher prices
- Funding Rate: Futures market is very cool and the funding rate is at historically low values, indicating no overheating
- ETF Flows: Lastly, the ETFs have been buying relentlessly, supporting the price...
Published 11/06/24
We will discuss whether Bitcoin is overvalued and analyze short-term holder behavior after the recent pump.
0:00 Opening
1:32 Bitcoin's Price Action
5:26 YTD Performance
11:25 Valuation Models
35:06 VMVRV
41:00 Short-Term Holder NUPL
1:19:59 End
Published 11/06/24
Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future:
https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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Published 10/27/24
This episdoe is a slightly-abridged version of deep-dive discussion on Ark with moonsettler on Twitter.
Here's the link to the full space: https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1DXxyveDnyVKM?s=20
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the...
Published 10/26/24
Discover the Smart Vault, a technology that makes Bitcoin self-custody possible for everyone and makes losing your Bitcoin impossible!
21st Capital's Smart Vault is a state-of-the-art, layered multi-signature setup designed with automatic on-chain backups and a built-in inheritance plan. In this session, you'll learn how the Smart Vault enhances Bitcoin self-custody, addressing the security, flexibility, and peace of mind that today's custodial solutions often...
Published 10/26/24
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future:
https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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Published 10/26/24
Bitcoin Data, Analytics, Valuation Modes, and More.
21stcapital.com
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future:
https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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Published 10/26/24
We examine the sentiment of Bitcoin short-term holder, their likelihood to sell, and the strength of the recent price pump via onchain data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future: https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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Published 10/26/24
We cover the Bitcoin pump, Bitcoin valuation model update, and MicroStrategy price.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future:
https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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Published 10/25/24
Which one is a better hedge against inflation? Is Bitcoin going to make you rich or gold? Which one just holds your head above the water, and which one takes you to the moon?
Today, we have Matthew Mežinskis on the Best Bitcoin Data Show and dive deep into comparing gold vs. Bitcoin, macro and money supply.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for...
Published 10/13/24
In this video Zi, Glassnode's Senior Analyst, helps us quantify the Impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the Market & compare them with Ethereum ETFs.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the future:
https://21stcapital.com/youtube
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00:00 Highlight
00:31 Teaser
00:38...
Published 10/05/24
PlanC and Sminston join 21st Capital for an analysis of bitcoin price trajectory based on the Power Law and Quantile Regression models.
A must-watch for anyone looking to understand Bitcoin price predictions through advanced statistical models.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the...
Published 10/05/24
This is the first episode of the Best Bitcoin Data show, where professional data analysts and quants curate for you the best Bitcoin data, charts, and analyses of the week. In this episode, we cover the Volatility-Adjusted Power Law index and Bitcoin Quantile Regression Channel.
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Schedule a personalized demo with 21st Capital and let us show you how to secure your Bitcoin for the...
Published 09/30/24
How much of your portfolio should you allocate to Bitcoin to maximize your returns without taking on too much risk?
Using the Kelly criterion, Stephen Perrenod, Ph.D., calculates the optimal Bitcoin allocation to be at least 75%.
The Kelly formula helps you determine the optimal size of an investment, balancing the potential for growth with the risk of losing your capital.
By calculating the proportion of your portfolio to invest based on the probability of success and expected returns,...
Published 09/12/24
Dr. Perrenod offers a detailed critique of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin models (Bitcoin24), diving into the key insights and potential limitations.
Dr. Stephen Perrenod is a Harvard and MIT alumnus with a rich background in astrophysics and high-performance computing.
With expertise ranging from galaxy cluster modeling to cutting-edge AI and Big Data technologies, Dr. Perrenod brings a unique perspective to the conversation.
Don't miss this fascinating discussion on Bitcoin's future,...
Published 09/07/24
On August 30th, Michael Saylor unveiled a suite of Bitcoin models forecasting its price over the coming decades under bear, base, and bull scenarios.
Giovanni Santostasi and Sina dive into these models, exploring their assumptions and price predictions.
Giovanni is the creator of the Bitcoin Power Law theory, which is a powerful tool for modeling and predicting Bitcoin price.
Tune in to this episode to discover what we found....
Published 09/05/24
Marius is a Bitcoin journalist at Cryptoast, one of the leading French crypto media. He also has his own website, adoptblock.com, whose mission is to raise awareness about Bitcoin.
00:00 - intro to pod
01:57 - Marius's intro
05:44 - Challenges in Bitcoin adoption by companies
08:14 - Bitcoin adoption in Iran report
17:36 - Marius’s journey into Bitcoin
20:20 - Bitcoin’s energy consumption
29:27 - Why Bitcoin?
32:06 - future...
Published 02/04/24