Episodes
In this episode, Douglas Porter, BMO’s Chief Economist, joins me to discuss how President-elect Trump’s return to the White House could impact the Canadian economy, the outlook for the Bank of Canada, interest rates and the Canadian dollar as we head into an uncertain 2025. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 11/14/24
Published 11/14/24
In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to break down this week’s 50 bp rate cut from the Bank of Canada, whether more super-sized cuts should be expected, the extent of Canada-US policy divergence, and views on the market as we head toward year-end. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 10/24/24
In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO’s Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the impact of the latest GDP figures on the outlook for Bank of Canada, the coming changes to mortgage insurance regulations, investors’ views on duration, why provincial spreads look attractive, and our favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 10/03/24
In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap traders, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada rate cut, terminal rates and where markets might be mispricing the outlook for monetary policy, and whether swap spreads will remain under pressure. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 09/12/24
With the kids heading back to school, while we just keep on working, I’m joined by Sam Buckley, Head of BMO’s Government of Canada trading desk, to discuss what to expect at next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, his thoughts on the yield curve, and opportunities for the rest of 2024. As always, feedback is welcome.
Published 08/29/24
In this episode, Darren Campbell, BMO’s head of FICC Investor Sales Canada, joins me to discuss the path for the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve, where terminal might be and how that could impact the yield curve, and provincial credit spreads. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 08/01/24
In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO’s Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the surprisingly firm May inflation figures, the impact on the Bank of Canada, and the global financial market backdrop. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 06/27/24
In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency traders, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada 25 bp rate cut, the potential extent of BoC/Fed divergence and how that could impact the C$, and cross-currency market dynamics and opportunities. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 06/13/24
In this episode, Chris D’Onofrio, one of BMO’s Canadian dollar swap traders, joins me to discuss our expectations for the June Bank of Canada policy announcement, the takeaways from our recent marketing trip to London, and structural flows that continue to drive the rates market. As always, all feedback is welcome.  
Published 05/23/24
In a first for Views from the North, I had the pleasure of speaking with TJ Sutter, Co-Head & Macro Portfolio Manager, Fixed Income, at CCL Investment Management. We discuss his process when evaluating markets, views on the state of the economy and markets, and where potential opportunities might lie. As always, all feedback is welcome.  
Published 05/09/24
This week Robert Kavcic, a Senior Economist from the BMO Economics team, Fred Nastos, Head of Government Spread Trading and Adam Whitlam from our Canada institutional sales desk, join me to share their thoughts on the provincial & federal budgets, the potential impact of policy measures on markets, how the Bank of Canada outlook changes, and their latest market insights. As always, all feedback is welcome.  
Published 04/18/24
In this episode, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the recent sell off in rates, broader economic backdrop, and uncertainty weighing on markets. As always, all feedback is welcome.  
Published 04/04/24
In this episode, Darren Campbell, BMO’s head of FICC investor sales Canada, joins me to discuss the lack of conviction keeping the rates market constrained, last week’s Bank of Canada policy decision, the ramifications from provincial budget season, and how RRBs aren’t dead. As always, all feedback is welcome.  
Published 03/14/24
In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of BMO’s Canadian institutional fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the current state of the rates market following the wild swings in recent weeks, his views on credit markets, potentially impactful market events over the next month and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 02/15/24
In this episode Robert Kavcic, a Senior Economist from the BMO Economics team, joins me to share his insights on the outlook for the Canadian housing market, reaction to last week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, and his thoughts on the upcoming provincial budget season. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 02/01/24
In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency traders, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, how this week’s inflation and Business Outlook Survey impact policymakers, when the first cut might come, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback is welcome.
Published 01/18/24
In this episode, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the December index extensions, what to look for in 2024, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 11/30/23
In this episode, Darren Campbell, BMO’s head of FICC investor sales Canada, joins me to discuss the ongoing volatility in fixed income markets, what risk assets are telling us, whether central bank are really done with hikes and his favourite trade ideas as we head into calendar year end. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 11/16/23
In this episode, Doug Porter, BMO’s Chief Economist, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada decision to stay on hold, his upcoming piece on Canadian productivity, along with the potential financial implications. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 11/02/23
In this episode, Joel Prussky, BMO’s OIS and cross-currency trader, joins me to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement and the likely end of rate hikes, the macro backdrop and why the economic outlook is very subdued. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 10/19/23
In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of the Toronto-based fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the carnage in the rates market, my takeaways from visits to NYC and Tokyo, the latest twist in the CMB saga and the outlook for central banks & interest rates. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 09/28/23
In this episode, Jeff Oland, part of BMO’s Government of Canada bond trading team, joins me for the first time to discuss next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the impact of fiscal policy, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 08/31/23
In this episode, Dave Moore, part of BMO’s London-based fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss last week’s Bank of Canada rate hike, global inflation trends, and whether the recent data moves the needle for central banks to tone down their hawkishness, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 07/20/23
In this episode, Adam Whitlam, part of the Toronto-based fixed income sales team, joins me to discuss the outlook for next week’s Bank of Canada policy announcement, the recent back up in interest rates, whether provincial spreads have tightened too far, and his favourite trade ideas. As always, all feedback welcome.
Published 07/06/23