Episodes
Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the Fed rate decision, recent inflation, labor, and GDP data, and possible next steps for monetary policy. He also provides key takeaways for investors from our 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023. Related Insights: 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023 10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023. Read 10 Macro Themes 1Q23...
Published 02/07/23
Scott Minerd, Global CIO for Guggenheim Partners and Chairman of Guggenheim Investments, joins the year-end episode of Macro Markets on Fed Day for a wide-ranging discussion of the Federal Reserve’s execution of monetary policy, economic conditions, the investment landscape for risk assets, portfolio strategy, and more. Related Insights Global CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking Something The Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its tightening cycle, but is clearly...
Published 12/15/22
Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the structure and value in the residential mortgage-backed securities market and other ABS sectors. Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, answers a listener question on liquidity. Jerry Cai, an economist in our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, brings the latest on the labor picture and an update on China.
Published 12/08/22
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins the podcast to give her analysis of where we are in the economic and credit cycle, and her views on risk and opportunity across the fixed income landscape. Related Insights Fourth Quarter 2022 Fixed-Income Sector Views Market and value updates by sector Read Fixed-Income Sector Views The Jobs Data Trend Is Duration’s Friend October jobs data suggests a cooling labor market Read Macro Alert Markets Rally After Weak CPI...
Published 11/16/22
Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo takes us through the fixed-income market to evaluate risk and return prospects with spreads near their historical wides and bond prices at levels not seen in decades. Jerry Cai, an economist in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, provides an update on the latest macro data. Also, we answer listener mail. Related Content: Global CIO Outlook: That Sound You Hear is the Fed Breaking Something The Federal Reserve (Fed) is closer to the end of its...
Published 10/27/22
Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, gives a CIO’s unique perspective on managing portfolios and market dynamics in a complex macro environment. He discusses credit performance, relative value in corporate and structured credit, duration strategy, risk management, and more. Paul Dozier, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, provides an update on the latest macro data. Also, we answer listener...
Published 10/13/22
In the newest episode of our award-winning podcast, Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, covers a lot of ground in his analysis of the Federal Reserve’s third straight 75 basis point rate hike. He discusses how monetary policy is intended to tame inflation, the Fed’s reaction function going forward, and possible recession timing, as well as the U.S. dollar’s relative strength and foreign central bank responses. With the Fed now embracing...
Published 09/28/22
Jim Pass, head of project finance for Guggenheim Investments, and Kate Newman from the World Wildlife Fund talk about the most recent research collaboration between Guggenheim and WWF, a survey of infrastructure investors and developers. Read the report here. Related Insights: 3Q22 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook Signposts for credit investors as next recession approaches Read Report 3Q22 Fixed-Income Sector Views Relative Value and performance drivers across fixed-income sectors. Read...
Published 09/15/22
Matt Bush, Guggenheim’s US economist, discusses the fast-moving economic data and what it might mean for the future course of monetary policy. Aditya Agrawal, head of the Agency MBS Sector Team, reports on developments in his sector, which is directly affected by the Fed's balance sheet management. 3Q22 Fixed-Income Sector Views Relative Value and performance drivers across fixed-income sectors. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views The Inflation Moderation We Expected Should Continue Lower July...
Published 08/18/22
Jenny Marler, head of Guggenheim Real Estate, focuses on hotels and hospitality, one of the real estate sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. Jerry Cai, a Vice President in the Guggenheim Investments Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group provides an update on latest Federal Reserve decision and other macro developments. We also answer a listener’s question. If you have a question to direct to the podcast, please email [email protected]. Related Insights: 3Q22...
Published 08/04/22
Episode 18: Investment-Grade Corporates and the Macro Backdrop Thursday, July 21 Justin Takata, head of Guggenheim’s Investment-Grade Sector Team, discusses the technical and fundamental drivers of value in his market. Guggenheim’s U.S. Economist Matt Bush reviews the latest CPI and jobs data, and outlines his views on recession timing and the possible progression of monetary policy. We also answer a listener’s question about fixed-income funds in retirement plans. If you have a question to...
Published 07/21/22
In Episode 17: “Fixed Income in Retirement Plans” (July 6, 2022), portfolio manager Adam Bloch, a managing director and a leader of our total return team, discusses economic and market conditions in fixed income, and offers perspective on considerations for plan sponsors, advisors, and plan participants when evaluating the bond allocation in retirement accounts. If you have a question to direct to the podcast, please email [email protected]. Related Insights: Recession...
Published 07/06/22
Brian Smedley, Guggenheim’s Chief Economist and Head of Macroeconomic and Investment Research, discusses the impact of the Fed’s 0.75% rate hike on markets and the economy. If you have a question you would like to direct to the podcast, please email [email protected] Related Insights: Macro Markets Podcast: Episode #15 Paul Dozier on how stocks have performed in midterm election years, and head of foreign exchange Cameron Crosby discusses the currency markets. Listen to...
Published 06/23/22
Paul Dozier, a Director in the Guggenheim Investments Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group discusses the performance of equity markets during mid-term election years and provides an update on the latest economic data. Head of Guggenheim’s foreign exchange and derivatives trading desk, Managing Director Cameron Crosby, shares the latest on the currency markets. We also answer a listener’s question about the neutral rate. If you have a question you would like to direct to the podcast,...
Published 06/09/22
Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, provides an update on the macroeconomic outlook, including his analysis of the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. We also answer listener questions.
Published 05/26/22
Matt Bush, a Managing Director and Guggenheim’s US Economist analyzes the latest Fed announcement and labor and inflation data, and offers his views on what investors can expect as policy starts to take hold. Maria Giraldo, a Managing Director and investment strategist in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the fundamentals, relative value, and future prospects for credit risk while the Fed tightens. And the head of Guggenheim’s bank loan desk, Managing Director Chris...
Published 05/12/22
Allen Li, Managing Director and Head of Guggenheim’s Municipal Bond Sector Team, discusses technical and fundamental drivers of the taxable and tax-exempt municipal market, and why it might be a good time to buy. Also, with the Fed poised to ramp up policy tightening and ongoing supply disruptions from lockdowns in China and the war in Ukraine, Paul Dozier, a Director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, brings us up to date on the economic outlook.
Published 04/28/22
Karthik Narayanan, Head of the Structured Credit group for Guggenheim Investments, and Jared Drucker, a Director and senior member of the group, join Head of Thought Leadership Jay Diamond for a timely discussion of ABS, MBS, and CLOs, how the market has been responding to rapidly changing market conditions, and where they are finding value now. Matt Bush, US Economist for Guggenheim Investments, looks under the hood of the latest CPI release and shares his take on the Minutes from the March...
Published 04/14/22
Steve Brown, Assistant Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the drivers of first quarter market volatility, portfolio management decision making, and the case for bonds now. Also featuring Aditya Agrawal, Head of the Agency MBS Sector Team, and Jerry Cai, a Vice President in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group.
Published 03/31/22
Brian Smedley, Chief Economist for Guggenheim Investments and Head of our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, joins Jay Diamond, Head of Thought Leadership, to discuss the economic and market impact of the FOMC decision, war in Ukraine, and much more.
Published 03/18/22
Anne Walsh, Guggenheim Investments CIO for Fixed Income, discusses risk, opportunity, and the benefits of active portfolio management. Also featuring Jenny Marler, head of Guggenheim Real Estate, with an update on the retail sector, and Paul Dozier, a director in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research  Group, does a deep dive on developments in Ukraine and recent economic data releases.
Published 03/02/22
An update on the investment grade corporate bond market in the wake of the latest CPI inflation data and the expected removal of monetary policy accommodation. Featuring Justin Takata, Managing Director and Head of Investment Grade Corporate Credit Sector Team, and Paul Dozier, Director in the Macroeconomic and Research Group.
Published 02/16/22
Floating rate assets and credit should perform well as monetary policy changes course. Featuring Matt Bush, U.S. economist and a managing director in our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group; Adam Bloch, portfolio manager and one of the leaders of our Total Return team; and Karthik Narayanan, managing director and head of Guggenheim’s Structured Credit Team.
Published 02/03/22
Topics include an economic update with a focus on inflation data, a report on the yield curve and rates, and a discussion of sustainable infrastructure. Featuring Tad Nygren, managing director and head of Guggenheim’s Rates Sector Team; Jerry Cai, a vice president in the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group; and Jim Pass, a senior managing director and head of project finance in conversation with Jay Diamond, Head of Thought Leadership.
Published 01/19/22
Discussion of the economic and market backdrop to today’s Fed decision, and themes for next year. Featuring Assistant Chief Investment Officer Steve Brown and Chief Economist Brian Smedley.
Published 12/15/21