Episodes
Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, join the Macro Markets podcast to discuss our newly published Quarterly Macro Themes for 1Q 2024 and provide an update to our baseline views on the economy. Related Insights: 1Q24 Quarterly Macro Themes Research spotlight on what’s next. Read Quarterly Macro Themes 2024 Election Uncertainty Could Drive Fixed-Income Outperformance Rising economic policy and geopolitical uncertainty may favor higher...
Published 04/10/24
Private debt is one of the fastest growing sectors in the capital markets, and perhaps one of the most misunderstood. Joe McCurdy, Head of Origination on our Private Debt team, joins Macro Markets to explain how the sector has grown to be a robust capital option to banks, broadly syndicated loans, and bonds. Tune in (or read the transcript!) for his take on the investment opportunity and risks right now and his outlook for the sector. Related Content: 1Q24 Fixed-Income Sector Views Investing...
Published 03/25/24
Published 03/25/24
Justin Takata, Head of our Investment-Grade Sector Team, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, provide technical and fundamental analysis of the sector, as well as where they are seeing risk and opportunity. We also answer listener mail. Related Content: 1Q24 Fixed-Income Sector Views Investing as the Fed prepares to cut rates. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views Learning from Turning Points in Monetary Policy The case for moving into higher quality fixed income (and out of money markets and...
Published 03/11/24
Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit for Guggenheim Investments, and Danny Gibbs, a portfolio manager on our Total Return team, join Macro Markets to give an overview of the structured credit market. Related Insights: Learning from Turning Points in Monetary Policy The case for moving into higher-quality fixed income (and out of money markets and equities) while the Fed is paused and a head of coming rate cuts. Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary 1Q24 High-Yield and Bank Loan...
Published 02/20/24
Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, and Matt Bush, our U.S. Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss the latest FOMC meeting and the January jobs report, update our monetary policy outlook, and review relative value in the fixed-income market. Related Insights: Learning from Turning Points in Monetary Policy The case for moving into higher-quality fixed income (and out of money markets and equities) while the Fed is paused and a head of coming rate cuts. Read...
Published 02/06/24
Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, join the Macro Markets podcast to discuss our top 11 Macro Themes likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance this year. Related Insights: 11 Macro Themes for 2024 11 trends that will shape credit markets in 2024. Read 11 Macro Themes Policy Conditions Are Tighter Than They Appear Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to...
Published 01/23/24
Anne Walsh, CIO for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Macro Markets to discuss opportunities and risks in what promises to be an eventful 2024. A weakening economy, pivoting monetary policy, volatile geopolitics, and a presidential election form the backdrop that is tailor-made for active fixed-income management. Related Content: Policy Positions Are Tighter Than They Appear Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins CNBC to...
Published 01/08/24
Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, discusses the performance of the corporate credit sector this year and the rationale for our cautiously optimistic outlook for 2024. Related Insights: 4Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views Consistent strategy through volatility. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views 4Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook Credit challenges to come as the economy slows. Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook 3Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes Research spotlight on what’s next. Read...
Published 11/28/23
Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, and Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments' U.S. Economist, update our economic and market outlook following the November meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee and the latest employment report. Related Insights: 4Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook Credit challenges to come as the economy slows. Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook 3Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes Research spotlight on what’s next. Read Quarterly Macro...
Published 11/06/23
Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies, discusses the portfolio strategy implications of the evolving geopolitical, economic, and policy landscape. He shares how active management allocation decisions within a long-term investment outlook are designed to avoid risk and identify opportunity in this period of heightened volatility and uncertainty. Related Insights: 3Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes Research spotlight on what’s next. Read Quarterly Macro...
Published 10/19/23
U.S. Economist Matt Bush, Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist Chris Squillante, and Economist Jerry Cai join Macro Markets to discuss the second issue of Quarterly Macro Themes, which takes a deep dive into issues helping shape our baseline economic views. Related Insights: 3Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes Research spotlight on what’s next. Read Quarterly Macro Themes 3Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views Technical tailwinds support the market. Read Fixed-Income Sector...
Published 09/21/23
Jenny Marler, Head of Guggenheim Real Estate, provides insight into the $21 trillion commercial real estate market, a critical asset class for the economy. Performance has varied for each of the principal sectors, but the office sector, beset by tepid post-pandemic back-to-work trends, high mortgage rates, and capital rationing, is struggling. She discusses monitoring and managing risk and where she is seeing value in the sector. Related Insights: 3Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views Technical...
Published 09/07/23
Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their updated outlook following some recent surprises in the economic data. They discuss the likelihood of a soft landing, the possible path of monetary policy, market dynamics, and investment strategy and positioning. Related Insights: Use This ‘Goldilocks Market’ to Prepare for Its Eventual End The Fed is not done. Read Commentary 3Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan...
Published 08/04/23
Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit for Guggenheim Investments, and Tom Nash, a director on our Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) sector team, join Macro Markets to discuss drivers of performance, current conditions in real estate, and where they are finding value in CMBS and in other types of structured credit. Related Insights: 3Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook Appealing yields and cautious markets. Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook 2Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes A...
Published 07/25/23
Matt Bush, US Economist; Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist; and Paul Dozier, Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss the first issue of our newest Thought Leadership publication, Quarterly Macro Themes. We also answer listener mail. Related Insights: 2Q23 Quarterly Macro Themes A new quarterly publication from our Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, spotlights critical and timely areas of research and updates our baseline views on the economy. Read Quarterly Macro Themes Fixed...
Published 06/20/23
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, analyzes the economic and credit cycles, evaluates market opportunities, opines on drivers of returns going forward, and shares portfolio strategies. Rising idiosyncratic risk, she says, calls for active fixed-income management. She also offers advice to young women looking to make a career in asset management. Related Content: Fixed Income Is Now a Buyer’s Market Improved value proposition in credit. Read...
Published 06/08/23
Allen Li, Managing Director and Head of Guggenheim Investments’ Municipal Bond Sector Team, explains the structure and characteristics of the $4 trillion municipal market, the importance of technical dynamics, and where he is finding value. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the economic outlook. Related Content: 2Q23 Fixed-Income Sector Views Opportunity in fixed income rises with uncertainty Read Fixed-Income Sector Views 2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook An opportunity for active...
Published 05/25/23
Tom Hauser, Co-Head of Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments and senior portfolio manager for the firm’s high yield and leveraged loan portfolios, discusses his team’s analytical process, the importance of credit selection, and his current views on opportunity in leveraged credit. Take a deep dive with Tom into the fundamental and technical drivers of performance, his default outlook, and getting paid for taking credit risk. Economist Paul Dozier updates on the latest economic...
Published 05/11/23
Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager for Guggenheim Investments, checks in with Macro Markets to discuss opportunities, tactics, and strategy in today’s uncertain economic and market environment. With the relatively high level of income available in the market today, it pays to be patient, and diversified, with an eye towards becoming a liquidity provider in the future. Related Content: 2Q23 High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook An opportunity for active management. Read High-Yield and Bank Loan...
Published 04/27/23
Justin Takata, Head of Investment Grade Corporate Credit for Guggenheim Investments, discusses the interplay between primary issuance and trading volumes, developments in credit fundamentals, and where he is seeing risk and opportunity. U.S. Economist Matt Bush updates the Fed outlook following recent economic data. Also, we answer listener mail. Related Content: A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate The Fed’s next move and beyond. Read Macroeconomic...
Published 04/14/23
Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Evan Serdensky, a Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, share their perspectives and outlook following two eventful weeks in markets and the economy. They discuss the future path of monetary policy, the effects of a possible credit crunch, and investment strategy and positioning. Related Insights: A Not-So-Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Terminal Rate The Fed’s next move and beyond. Read Macroeconomic Commentary Silicon...
Published 03/27/23
Karthik Narayanan, Head of Securitized for Guggenheim Investments, gives a master class in structured credit, including where he is finding attractive absolute and relative value in mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, and collateralized loan obligations. U.S. Economist Matt Bush discusses the resilience of recent economic data and what it means for the Federal Reserve’s inflation fight. (Structured credit is complex and may not suitable for all investors.) Related...
Published 03/03/23
Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Total Return and Macro Strategies for Guggenheim Investments, shares a CIO’s unique perspective on active portfolio management in a time of higher yields and macroeconomic complexity. He discusses recent economic data, relative value opportunities, and the importance of making asset allocation decisions for a range of different outcomes. Related Insights: Market Commentary: Investors Should Not Expect Much Relief from Volatility The transition to a...
Published 02/17/23
Brian Smedley, Chief Economist and Head of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, discusses the Fed rate decision, recent inflation, labor, and GDP data, and possible next steps for monetary policy. He also provides key takeaways for investors from our 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023. Related Insights: 10 Macroeconomic Themes for 2023 10 charts illustrate the macroeconomic trends we believe are most likely to shape the investment environment in 2023. Read 10 Macro Themes 1Q23...
Published 02/07/23