Episodes
Equity markets reacted favourably to the US election result. However, Philip Saunders, Director of Ninety One’s Investment Institute reminds us that regardless of the party in power, long-term market movements are driven by fundamentals – growth matters.
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Published 11/06/24
The prospects for oil appear positive on a five-year view, not least because US shale supply could plateau in the next few years. However, investors will need to be careful in 2025, because demand worries and supply growth add up to a bearish outlook. As portfolio manager Paul Gooden explains, there are still opportunities, but active management will be key.
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Published 10/18/24
In this episode of Sustainability with Substance, Stephanie Niven is joined by Paul Ronalds, CEO of Global Ventures at Save the Children, looking at on the ground, impactful routes to delivering change across different drivers, pulling together health tech innovation, climate adaptation insurance, and decarbonising cooking facilities into a sustainability landscape, comparing opportunities and approaches across the public and private markets.
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Published 09/17/24
The conventions are over, the banners banished, and the balloons have popped. Now Kamala Harris and Donald Trump get serious in the run-up to November 5th. Without picking sides, Philip Saunders analyses this most tight of political struggles and speculates on market reaction to both possible eventualities.
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Published 08/30/24
Inflation in the UK has ticked up while in the US it’s crept lower. It’s tempting to call that a halt in inflation’s precipitous fall is upon us because of amongst other factors, the base effect. Jason Borbora-Sheen disagrees, and even sees a possibility of continuing disinflation. The reaction by central banks will likely continue to be the focus of market participants’ attention. With this backdrop, Borbora-Sheen forward the case for bonds.
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Published 08/23/24
In this episode, Sustainable Equity analyst Eric Opara sits down with Nikki Gwilliam-Beeharee from the World Benchmarking Alliance to examine some of the challenges and opportunities of digital inclusion.
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Published 08/21/24
The performance of developed economies and the action of central banks recently caused acute financial market tensions and volatility. What really happened, why, and was it avoidable?
John Stopford looks back on a testing week and assesses the near-term prospects, with a keen eye on the background of US politics.
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Published 08/14/24
Gold has been breaking records in US$ terms in 2024, and the future seems bright for the yellow metal. Fundamentals underpinning the gold price include central bank demand, US fiscal worries and the prospect of lower interest rates and the de-dollarisation of the global monetary system. Add to this the chance of another Trump presidency and gold bulls are on high alert. Iain Cunningham examines the key factors.
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Published 08/06/24
We are half way through 2024 and most emerging market elections have now taken place, notably in South Africa, India, and Mexico. Given that elections often move markets, Ninety One emerging market specialists, Malcolm Charles and Nicolas Jaquier take stock to assess their impact.
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Published 07/25/24
Bram Wagner, a prominent specialist from the Access to Medicine Foundation, engages in a thoughtful conversation with Portfolio Manager, Matt Evans, about how we can think of healthcare investing through the lens of accessibility. Initiatives aimed at improving accessibility on a global scale can significantly expand addressable markets within the healthcare industry. This provides investors with an opportunity not only to contribute meaningfully to enhancing accessibility, but also to invest...
Published 07/24/24
Stephanie Niven sits down with experienced and award winning impact investor Dimple Sahni from Anthos Fund and Asset Management to examine some of the challenges and opportunities of turning impact insights into an alpha advantage.
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Published 07/10/24
Ninety One’s Stephanie Niven and Jake Thomson examine some of the front-line challenges and impact potential of African conservation. They are joined by the pioneering leader and founder of the non-profit Tusk Trust, Charlie Mayhew. Hear Charlie talk about some hard-won ‘war stories’ showing what’s at stake as they discuss the evolving financial model required to protect Africa’s natural environment.
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Published 06/27/24
If polls are to be believed, the 14-year tenure of the UK’s Conservative Party is about to end. Change is often greeted with trepidation by society, business and markets. However, in this case the UK has displayed stability, especially relative to some of its European peers. Matt Evans examines the mood and the potential market moves after July 4th, Election Day.
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Published 06/24/24
We have grown used to 'higher for longer', but the winds of change have now seemingly started to blow in the corridors of monetary policy power. Sweden and Switzerland have cut, and Canada followed suit. All eyes were on the ECB, and it did not disappoint, cutting rates by 25 basis points. Christine Lagarde was still guarded, however, and did not commit to further falls. John Stopford analyses the implications.
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Published 06/18/24
Investment analysts frequently ignore culture and inclusion, focusing exclusively on companies’ financial statements. Yet the ‘human factor’ is often among the key drivers of corporate performance, and ultimately of shareholder returns. Professor Alex Edmans talks with Ninety One’s Stephanie Niven and Miles Hamilton about how to leverage research into culture and inclusion into better investment decisions. They also discuss their joint work to develop a practical framework for incorporating...
Published 06/12/24
For Schneider Electric, a multinational company that specialises in digital automation and energy management, sustainability isn’t just about doing good. It’s a way of aligning the business to the structural tailwinds created by a decarbonising world.
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Published 05/29/24
Juliana Hansveden and Yuxin Lin from the Sustainable Equity team recently travelled to China and Korea to meet existing and prospective portfolio companies. They discuss the insights gained from the trip and detail how they’re capturing the structural growth opportunities.
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Published 05/15/24
Portfolio Manager Stephanie Niven and analyst Sam Anthony discuss the importance of biodiversity and how they think about it from an investment perspective.
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Published 05/08/24
India offers an exciting decarbonisation growth opportunity, but it is also fast becoming the most populous country in the world. With that comes both risks and opportunities for investors. Portfolio Manager Graeme Baker is joined by Ninety One analyst Arita Sehgal and London School of Economics Professor in Practice Nick Robins to unpack this topic. They look at India’s impact on the world’s transition to net zero and what a just transition looks like for the country.
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Published 05/01/24
After the recent optimism of market participants that sent US markets to record highs and bond yields tumbling, the mood has changed. Bond yields have risen sharply and frothy equities are well off their highs as inflation has proved stubbornly high. John Stopford analyses the data in the US and beyond.
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Published 04/23/24
A new capex supercycle is forecast to shape the next decade, driven by a fusion of factors. Join strategist Sahil Mahtani as he delves into the historical backdrop, identifies key drivers, and explains what it means for investors.
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Published 04/17/24
Global commodities prices as measured by the CRB Index have increased around 14% in 2024 and investors are becoming increasingly optimistic about a meaningful long-term up cycle. From copper to cocoa and gold to PGMs, George Cheveley explains the fundamentals behind the rally and the prospect of it persisting and considers the outlook for the share prices of resources companies.
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Published 04/11/24
The year is still in Q1 but already it's billing as being all about politics and the price of money is justified. In a matter of days the US primaries have whittled down the US election to the familiar old candidates, the UK has delivered a surprise-free budget, the ECB has kept rates on hold while the Fed chair has merely changed the date of his speech to Congress.
Markets meander upwards unfazed, but with more than 50 elections due in 2024, multiple reserve bank meetings and the ongoing...
Published 03/13/24
The shadow of a poorly performing JSE resources sector and the dollar price of certain commodities hung over the annual Mining Indaba in Cape Town. The PGM sector, which is one of South Africa’s most important export products, garnered much of the attention, but copper, gold and some bulk commodities also took centre stage. Dawid Heyl shares his perspective on the Indaba and the outlook for the sector.
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Published 02/15/24