ep 202 | The week ahead - a US rate cut looms, but will the Fed go

ep 202 | The week ahead - a US rate cut looms, but will the Fed go big?

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Looking ahead, this week is shaping up as a very busy one with some extremely important events taking place across markets. The Federal Reserve decision in the US will be the highlight, with the first interest rate cut of this cycle (and the first in more than four years) looming. While a 0.25% cut seems assured, markets are ascribing a 35% chance of a larger, 0.50% cut. Here in New Zealand we’ll get the results of another dairy auction, as well as economic growth figures for the June 2024 quarter. Will these figures still look recessionary, and just how bad will they be?

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ep 223 | The week ahead - it’s RBNZ week, but will it cut by 25, 50 or 75?

The final RBNz meeting of 2024 is on Wednesday. Markets expect another 50-basis point cut, but could the RBNZ go bigger or smaller? We'll also get the retail sales report for the September quarter, and the latest monthly ANZ Business Outlook. There will be plenty to watch on the corporate front...

Published 11/23/24

On Point

Published 11/23/24

ep 222 | There's more to mortgage rates than the OCR

There’s a lot of excitement out there amongst borrowers, particularly those with a mortgage renewal coming up. The message boards are full of people speculating on how low rates will go, and strategizing how to play it for maximum advantage. While the optimism is justified, some caution applies...

Published 11/19/24