Episodes
The PSAC strike is 'Christmas' politically for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives, says pollster Nik Nanos. But what of the New Democrats?  Nik and host Michael Stittle discuss that and the latest on the House committee inquiry on foreign interference in our elections, as well as debate over the Liberal government's gun control bill. Nik also discusses a top issue on Canadians' minds -- clean energy, and how a certain European country wants to work closely with us and become a strong energy...
Published 04/26/23
It’s been two weeks since the federal budget and a visit from U.S. President Joe Biden -- enough time to track any movement in Liberal support. Did Trudeau's Liberals get a boost in public opinion?   Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also give a primer on Katie Telford, the chief of staff to the prime minister, as she prepares to appear before a House committee studying allegations that China meddled in our last two federal elections. And what will the Conservatives and NDP be...
Published 04/12/23
The federal Liberals are trending negatively on three key measures while Pierre Poilievre has surpassed Justin Trudeau when it comes to the question of who Canadians would prefer now as prime minister, according to Nanos Research. Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss the troubling polling for the Liberals, and whether the federal budget and recent visit from U.S. President Joe Biden might boost the party's numbers.
Published 03/29/23
Can the Liberals turn things around with a strong budget, and just how 'broken' are we?  Do Canadians feel their country is as "broken" as Pierre Poilievre says it is?  Listen to pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss a new Nanos Research survey on how we're feeling about our country and our major institutions.  While Liberal support shot up with health care in the spotlight last month, there's been an opposite trend happening over the last four weeks. Nik and Michael discuss...
Published 03/15/23
The Liberals and Conservatives have been neck-and-neck and trading leads over the past year when it comes to ballot support. But what does it look like when you project their current ballot support to actual seats in the House of Commons?  More simply, if an election were to be held today, who’d win? Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss Nanos’ latest seat projections, as well as an election that’s actually around the corner, in Alberta, where Premier Danielle Smith...
Published 03/01/23
With the federal health-care funding deal prominently in the headlines and concern over the state of health care towering over other issues of national concern for Canadians, Liberals seem to be enjoying a corresponding bounce in ballot support and are in a dead-heat with the Conservatives. Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss the latest ballot numbers and how the acrimony in Parliament makes it seem like there'll be an election sooner than you might...
Published 02/15/23
Health journalist and CTV News contributor Avis Favaro joins Trend Line for an in-depth episode dedicated to the growing crisis facing the Canadian health-care system. Nanos Research Chair Nik Nanos brings the latest numbers reflecting Canadians' concerns, and Avis shares insight from her award-winning career spanning 30 years to break down the longstanding issues facing our health-care system, the new factors contributing to the mounting crisis and most importantly, where do we go from here?
Published 02/01/23
The New Year has begun with "grim" numbers for the Liberals, according to pollster Nik Nanos on our first show of 2023. Not only is the 7% Conservative lead now outside the margin of error, but with the NDP also up, the Liberals are getting squeezed on both sides.     Meanwhile, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has been attacking the Liberals on health care, saying it’s "worse than ever" after seven years of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. But although Conservative support may be up,...
Published 01/18/23
In our final episode of 2022, pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss the  major federal parties – what moved the needle for them this year, and what do they have to look forward to in the New Year?  Trend Line will return in the New Year on January 18. 
Published 12/14/22
After weeks of 'Freedom Convoy' organizers airing their views at the Emergencies Act inquiry, how did the headlines impact ballot support for the Liberals and Conservatives, in light of Justin Trudeau's appearance before the inquiry and Pierre Poilievre being an early supporter of the protests? Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss the now double leadership team helming the Green Party, and what they have to do to build support  among Canadian voters. We then...
Published 11/30/22
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Chinese President Xi Jinping met briefly on the sidelines of the G20 summit, a meeting which could hardly be described as cordial. Nanos Research Chair Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss the tense exchange and the body language -- which spoke  volumes -- between the two leaders. From chilly relations abroad to frosty relations at home -- the federal government and some of the provinces just can't seem to get along, with the recent failure...
Published 11/16/22
Nanos Research asks Canadians a very simple question on the regular: are your personal finances worse, better or the same?  You probably know the answer, but pollster Nik Nanos explains how the most recent response to his survey broke a 14-year record. And not in a good way. Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss the continuing reverberations from the "Freedom Convoy" protests as the national inquiry into the government's use of the Emergencies Act continues.  And how a seemingly no-win...
Published 11/02/22
Nanos Research asks Canadians every week who they prefer as prime minister of the country. Right now, Pierre Poilievre and Justin Trudeau are neck and neck. Pollster Nik Nanos breaks down why, and dives deeper into what qualities both leaders have that appeal to Canadians.  (The result, as Nik puts it, is 'ugh'.) Nik and CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle also discuss the growing movement against the federation with Danielle Smith's recent victory in Alberta. And we're revealing the results of a...
Published 10/19/22
With a majority win for Francois Legault's CAQ in Quebec and one for Doug Ford's PCs earlier this year, that's two of Canada's most populous provinces where provincial Liberals have been steamrolled.  Pollster Nik Nanos and CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle discuss what this could mean for the federation.  You don't want to miss Nik's latest seat projections, which show Conservative support is strengthening in key battlegrounds and which ridings that were awash in Liberal red in the last election...
Published 10/05/22
We're back from summer break, and pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss Pierre Poilievre's question period debut in the House of Commons and the image he's trying to portray. Nik also breaks down the latest ballot numbers with the leading Conservatives and resurgent NDP putting the squeeze on the Liberals.
Published 09/21/22
Conservatives are ‘in the driver’s seat’ with a five percentage-point lead over the Liberals in the latest ballot tracking from Nanos Research. Pollster Nik Nanos and CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle discuss what’s driving the Liberals’ sinking numbers. Also, in Quebec, Premier Francois Legault has made waves with his controversial Bill 96, with a provincial election on the horizon. Finally, the U.S. midterms are approaching – could the Democrats lose control of one or both houses? We're...
Published 06/22/22
You might have missed it but the prime minister this week gave an emphatic 'no' to the question of whether he'd fulfill a promise to replace our first past the post electoral system with proportional representation. So what does he want instead?  Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle get into that. Also, why is Leslyn Lewis one to keep a close eye on in the Conservative leadership race? We also take a close look at Alberta Premier Jason Kenney and Ontario Premier Doug: a study in...
Published 06/08/22
We have a special episode of Trend Line focusing on the fallout from the Ontario provincial election. Nik Nanos' numbers for CTV News and CP24 leading up to the eleciton were spot on, capturing that Ford's PCs were on their way to a convincing majority. If you're a federal political party, what do you take away from Ford's victory? Nik and host Michael Stittle discuss that and more on this episode.
Published 06/03/22
Falling consumer confidence numbers show we're growing more anxious about where economy's headed. It's a theme that's taken centre stage at the Conservative Party's leadership race. And as the Russia-Ukraine war drags on and global anxiety increases, who do Canadians see as friendly faces in the world to do business with in these tense times? Nik's got some exclusive findings to share.
Published 05/26/22
With his attack on the Bank of Canada, Pierre Poilievre further positioned himself as the 'anti-establishment' Conservative leadership candidate. CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss Poilievre's strategy, and how it's working for him as we're in an environment where 8 out of 10 Canadians are worried about a potential recession. We've also got the latest analysis from the Ontario election campaign, and how the Liberal brand may be gaining traction, but their...
Published 05/11/22
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss yet another convoy heading to downtown Ottawa this weekend, this time on motorcycles. How do Canadians feel about the seemingly growing trend of convoy protests? Also, Nik breaks down how the Conservatives have opened up a lead over the governing Liberals, despite being technically leaderless. We've also got some exclusive numbers from New Brunswick, after the People's Alliance party closed up shop. Finally, what does Elon...
Published 04/27/22
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why the federal Liberals aren't seeing any bump in support following the release of the 2022 federal budget.  Also, Nik breaks down why the heated battle brewing between Pierre Poilievre and Jean Charest is turning into a fight for the "heart and soul" of the Conservative party.  Finally, is populism dead?  Far from, according to Nik's issue tracking and poll results so far in the French election. 
Published 04/13/22
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss whether the NDP made a catastrophic mistake by making a deal with the Liberals. Also, Nik breaks down Alberta Premier Jason Kenney's musings about the private sector.  Finally, do Canadians want our government to boost defence spending to help NATO? Nik explains.
Published 03/30/22
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why 'free speech' and 'freedom' have risen to the top of unprompted issues of concern in Canada. Also, Nik breaks down whether the surging price of oil and the political windfall accompanying it are enough to boost Alberta Premier Jason Kenney's popularity. Finally, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky addressed Canada’s Parliament this week and was very direct in what he wants: He wants Canada to back a no-fly zone over...
Published 03/16/22
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how Canadians generally feel about responding to crises like what's happening in Ukraine, and how our leaders are responding. Nik also breaks down how the provinces seem to be racing to relax COVID-19 restrictions. Finally, U.S. President Joe Biden gave his State of the Union speech.  Will it help boost the president's bleak approval numbers? Nik explains.
Published 03/02/22