Welcome back to our first episode since we broke for the summer. We open the show with the latest Nanos ballot tracking in which the Conservatives have not only widened their lead, but something significant has happened between the Liberals and NDP. CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss what this could mean for the governing minority Liberals and the timing for the next election. Nik also goes region by region to share his latest seat projections -- how popular support for...

After a stunning Toronto byelection victory by the Conservatives, pollster Nik Nanos looks at what other ridings across the country -- currently in Liberal hands -- might be taken away by Pierre Poiliever's party if an election were held today. Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are feeling right now about their economic future, and should things turn brighter before the next election, what that could mean politically for Justin Trudeau's leadership. This is our last...

With a big test for the Liberals coming up later this month in a federal byelection, host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos talk about what the results need to be to ramp up -- or tamp down -- the conservation over Justin Trudeau's leadership. Nik and Michael also discuss a recent survey about how Canadians feel about who should lead the Liberals in the next election.  And finally, will the Liberals be successful in making the capital gains tax into a wedge issue against the...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest tracking data from Nanos Research that shows Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives continue to hold a double-digit lead over Justin Trudeau's Liberals. But a different Nanos survey that looks into the leaders' credibility in Canadians' eyes is hardly flattering for either. In fact, Nik says the results are quite 'brutal' for both Trudeau and Poilievre.   Michael and Nik also react to the increasing combativeness and lack of...

When it comes to Canadians' pocketbooks, pollster Nik Nanos says he hasn't seen this much pessimism in a very long time. Nik and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are divided over the capital gains tax and its effect on investments, as well as how delaying the tax until end of June could result in a short-term windfall for the federal Liberals. Also, what do the Liberals have to do to reverse their negative trend line when it comes to popular support, and what do...

Pessimism and anger towards the federal government is at an all-time high, according to Nanos tracking. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss the challenge this poses for the Liberals in the lead-up to an election.  Also, what are the major issues Canadians are worried about, and did the federal budget address them? CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail Editor: Jesse Tahirali

After months of the Conservatives enjoying a clear advantage in popular support over the Liberals, the latest Nanos ballot tracking shows Pierre Poilievre's party went from a 20-point lead to a 12-point lead.   Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss possible reasons behind the Conservative drop, and what might Quebec have to do with it?   Nik and Michael also discuss Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's war of words with the premiers over the carbon tax.  CREDITS: HOST:...

Will a soft NDP vote benefit the Liberals in the next federal election?  Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss what the NDP is doing to differentiate itself from the Liberals, after two years of propping them up in Parliament. Also, why Liberal support might actually be higher than the national numbers indicate, and what the 'true' Conservative advantage is over the Liberals.   And as Canadians pay their respects to late prime minister Brian Mulroney, Nik and Michael rewind to...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos look at new numbers showing the federal Conservatives have opened up a 20-point lead over the Liberals – will it hold up? Then, there was a federal byelection in Durham, Ont. Nik says the CPC victory was never in doubt, but we did learn something else that should be interesting to the Liberals.  Also, there’s a federal budget on the horizon – Nik says it’s another chance for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to change the channel and stem the LPC...

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives increasing their support as the party Canadians would vote for, while the Liberals are in a statistical tie with the New Democrats. Poilievre's personal numbers continue to trend sharply upwards while his party saw a 17-point advantage over the federal Liberals in the new Nanos tracking. CREDITS: Host: Michael Stittle Guest: Nik Nanos Producers:  Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail Editor:  Jesse Tahirali

Whether it's the ballot number or seat projections, latest Nanos Research data shows the Conservatives would easily win a "clear majority" if an election were held today. Pollster Nik Nanos and Michael Stittle take a look at the growing gap between the federal Conservatives and Liberals, and the narrowing one between the Liberals and NDP.  In a 'what's that about?' segment, Nik analyzes the Liberal attacks on a senior Conservative adviser and her links to the grocery sector. And Nanos...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down new data on how Canadians feel about the country's housing crisis – the Bank of Canada indicated on Wednesday that interest rate cuts are coming, but what else do Canadians want decision-makers to do?Then, Michael and Nik take a look at the latest ballot tracking and new numbers for preferred prime minister. What to know? Nik says you should keep a close eye on the Liberal-NDP vote split.Also, Justin Trudeau is being criticized by...

Trend Line is back after a holiday break, and in this week's episode, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest the ballot numbers for the main federal parties – where do we stand at the start of the new year? Then, Nanos Research has been tracking the ‘Mood of Canada’ for nearly two decades. Nik shares the latest data on how Canadians feel about their government and country. Finally, Michael and Nik look ahead to some of the issues concerning Canadians that will...

It's time to look at Nanos Research's monthly seat projections. Once again, it's bad news for the federal Liberals if an election were held today, with Conservatives either projected to win or to put up a fight in key ridings that were Liberal wins in the 2021 election. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle do a region-by-region breakdown of these projections in our end-of-year episode. Then, they track how the parties have been trending on the ballot question, as well as the personal...

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss ballot numbers we haven't seen for a long time -- we're talking since Michael Ignatieff was Liberal leader. What does this mean moving forward for the federal parties? For the Conservatives, is there a price to be paid for doing this well in public opinion, with an election still more than a year (maybe) down the line? And as the fortunes of the NDP begin to rise, what do you do if you're Jagmeet Singh? CREDITS: Host: Michael...

It's been months of headlines touting tanking polling numbers for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and climbing support for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. But what does a long-term look at party standings show? And, is it too late for the trend lines to turn around?  In the latest episode of CTV's Trend Line, Nanos Research founder Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle dig in to the "Nanos Party Power Index Tracking for Canada." It offers a composite picture of various public opinion...

CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos break down how Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s reversal on a carbon tax for home heating oil in Atlantic Canada is already causing political blowback in the rest of the country – where does the federal government go from here? Then, we've got the latest ballot tracking data showing the Conservative Party continues to enjoy a significant advantage over the Liberal Party. Nik explains how that translates into seat projections and which...

After months of foreign relations turbulence, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss Canada's international reputation and look at recent surveys from Nanos Research –- which has good and bad news for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal government. In 2015, Trudeau declared to the world that Canada was 'back,' but it's been a bumpy road for his government lately. Nik gives his take on how the prime minister has handled challenges with India, the Nazi scandal in...

Nik Nanos has his latest ballot numbers as the Liberals see an erosion in federal support, both for the party and for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s personal brand. Nik and host Michael Stittle then get into Nanos Research’s latest seat projections – how do the ballot numbers translate into actual seats in the House of Commons if an election were to be held today? And some history in the making in Canada – the election of the first ever Black speaker of the House of Commons, and the...

We're back from our summer break and pollster Nik Nanos has the latest on where the federal parties – and their leaders -- stand after a 'roller coaster' of a summer.  Nik and host Michael Stittle also talk about how Canadians are feeling about the plans to bring in more immigrants to Canada, especially in light of the current housing crunch. And make sure to tune in to our next episode when Nik will talk about his latest seat projections. That will be available on Oct....

Pollster Nik Nanos has his latest House seat projections and he takes us region by region to give us a national picture of how the federal parties are doing. Nik and host Michael Stittle then discuss a new Nanos survey for CTV News and the Globe and Mail, about how Canadians feel about special rapporteur David Johnston and whether they're happy with a formal inquiry into foreign interference. The findings might surprise you. And with swaths of the country engulfed in wildfires and smoke,...

Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down Special Rapporteur David Johnston's decision not to recommend a public inquiry into foreign election interference.Nik and Michael also look at the latest polling in the upcoming Alberta provincial election, where several key ridings in Calgary could decide whether NDP Leader Rachel Notley or UCP Leader Danielle Smith emerge victorious.Then, moving on to Toronto's upcoming mayoral election, Nik explains the challenges for pollsters to...

We're in a tense diplomatic showdown with China. Again. And new Nanos numbers show just how tense things are when it comes to how Canadians feel about our relationship with China. Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos also discuss Nanos Research's latest federal ballot numbers, as well as new seat projections that show one of the major parties down everywhere in the country, except Quebec.

The PSAC strike is 'Christmas' politically for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives, says pollster Nik Nanos. But what of the New Democrats?  Nik and host Michael Stittle discuss that and the latest on the House committee inquiry on foreign interference in our elections, as well as debate over the Liberal government's gun control bill. Nik also discusses a top issue on Canadians' minds -- clean energy, and how a certain European country wants to work closely with us and become a strong energy...