EP. 110 - The Contagion of U.S. Commercial Real Estate
Description
The contagion of U.S. commercial real estate just spread to Asia and Europe in a big way…with an estimated loss of $1.2 Trillion in office building market values more is certainly on the way. Meanwhile, the stock market is oblivious with flows of international money (thanks to the many wars), a European recession with Germany being ground zero, and large momentum funds juicing the Magnificant 7 FAANG stocks. It’s a great time to appreciate liquidity and safety while avoiding FOMO (fear of missing out).
Additionally, there is a rapidly declining commercial real estate market and an increasing bank balance recognition of forthcoming bad debt in a major way. Meanwhile, the BLS has revised its key employment index which paints a seemingly mis-leading picture of the U.S. labor market which is characterized by long term declines in full time jobs and in jobs held by native born Americans. This is a great time to avoid new debt as well as new stock market investments, IMO.
This week, we’ll talk about the implications of the BRICS+ meeting, increasing long term interest rates, and the continuing vast amount of dollars coming into the U.S. stock and bond markets.
Historically, in war times, money moves out of higher geographical risk areas into U.S. dollar...
Published 10/31/24
Most of the leading Western countries going into or well into recessions while Russia and China organize BRICS+ against the dollar and economic leadership.
The implications of chronic under-reporting U.S. employment and inflation in the context of increasing long term interest rates and out of...
Published 10/17/24