Episodes
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Judith Henke, Editor, Investment and Markets team, Handelsblatt. Together they discuss the outcome of the US elections and the effect President Trump's victory has had across commodity markets.
You can follow our panellists on Twitter at:
Nitesh: https://twitter.com/NiteshShahWT
Mobeen: https://twitter.com/MobeenTahirWT
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Published 11/19/24
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, join Nitesh and Mobeen as they delve into the latest trends and insights in the commodity markets. In this episode, they explore the surge in precious metals, driven by geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. Discover why gold and silver are shining bright and what the future holds for these valuable assets. The discussion also covers the impact of China's stimulus on industrial metals, the dynamics of the energy market...
Published 10/15/24
Gerard Reid, co-founder and partner at Alexa Capital, discusses the energy transition and its investment opportunities. He highlights the importance of identifying and financing promising technologies in order to drive the transition. Reed emphasizes the complexity of the energy transition and the need for education and independent views. He believes that the energy transition is a revolution rather than a transition, with winners and losers emerging. Reed also discusses the role of AI,...
Published 09/12/24
Is the energy transition sustainable?
On this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Marcel Gauch from EMPA as he delves into the sustainability of our energy transition. Discover the challenges of using finite resources, the potential of abundant materials like silicon, and the future of renewable technologies. Explore the role of batteries, hydrogen fuel, and biofuels, and understand the environmental impact of new technologies. Marcel also shares his views on...
Published 07/24/24
Join Nitesh and Mobeen as they explore the impact of investor sentiment on commodities with special guest Warren Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research. Discover a data-driven perspective on oil and gold, the influence of the Federal Reserve’s policies, and the strategic moves of central banks and OPEC+. This episode offers a succinct analysis of market regimes, climate change effects on energy commodities, and the factors driving industrial metal demand. Catch the insights that shape the energy...
Published 06/28/24
Commodities have been experiencing a rally across all sectors, driven by positive action and big picture forces.
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen discuss the recent rally in commodities, covering precious metals, energy, industrial metals, and agriculture.
They discuss the rally in gold and silver, the role of central banks and China in driving demand, and the potential upside for silver. They also talk about platinum and palladium, the impact of the energy...
Published 05/30/24
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Edward Sterck, Director of Research, World Platinum Investment Council. Together they delve into the fascinating world of platinum. From exploring its cyclical and structural narratives to dissecting recent Middle East tensions’ impact on commodities, this podcast covers it all. Join the conversation as they discuss record deficits in platinum, supply challenges in South Africa and Russia, automotive sector trends, the...
Published 04/25/24
In the first half of this Episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Nick Stadmiller, head of product at Medley Advisors. Together they discuss key macroeconomic topics related to commodity markets. The conversation covers central bank activity, the polarization of central banks, expectations from the Fed, risks of surprises, the ECB's timing and actions, China's economic prospects, deglobalization and emerging markets, and the economic implications of the US election....
Published 03/26/24
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh is joined by Steven Knell, Head of Power and Renewables, Wood Mackenzie and Aneeka Gupta, Director, Macroeconomic Research, WisdomTree. Their conversation explores the ongoing energy transition and its implications. They discuss the challenges and opportunities in the transition from fossil fuels to low-carbon energies, the role of strategic metals and rare earth minerals in the energy transition, along with the long-term growth drivers for...
Published 02/27/24
In this episode of the Commodity Exchange podcast, Nitesh Shah interviews Philip Newman, Managing Director and Founder at Metals Focus, about the factors influencing gold and silver prices. They discuss the record highs in gold prices in December 2023, driven by geopolitical issues and rate cut expectations. They also explore the trends in central bank gold demand, the retail market, and the behaviour of institutional investors. Additionally, they examine the gold to silver ratio and the...
Published 01/30/24
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen get together to discuss the outlook for 2024 after an eventful 2023 for commodity markets.
(00:00) Intro and disclaimer
(01:46) Are commodities a late cycle performer?
(04:32) Will 2024 also be a good year for defensive commodities?
(09:47) China's economic outlook for next year
(16:38) Evolving production challenges the world faces for raw metals
(25:25) Can investors hedge themselves against unforeseeable risks when...
Published 11/29/23
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Max Layton, Global Head of Commodities Strategy at Citi. Together they discuss the challenges the metals sector has faced so far in 2023 and they explore when and how we might see the fortunes of this commodity sector becoming brighter again.
(00:00) Intro and Disclaimer
(01:44) The precious metals sector
(12:17) Base metal space and London Metal Exchange Week
(15:27) Copper
(23:22) Nickel
(27:30) ESG and...
Published 11/13/23
In this episode, Nitesh is joined by Warren Pies, Co-Founder & Strategist, 3Fourteen Research. Together they discuss what a late economic cycle entails and what it means for asset allocation.
(00:00) Intro and Disclaimer
(01:13) Meet Warren
(02:22) What is a late economic cycle? What is the evidence for one at this point in time?
(14:39) Are we are in restrictive Fed policy territory yet?
(19:19) Have there ever been any soft landings when we're in an inverted curve?
(22:02) Are...
Published 09/29/23
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Mobeen is joined by Aneeka Gupta, Director, Macroeconomic Research, WisdomTree. Together they discuss how the realm of modern finance intersects with the sphere of agriculture. Learn about agricultural commodities and gain insights into how investors navigate this asset class in this episode.
(00:00) Intro and Disclaimer
(01:54) Meet Aneeka
(04:02) Why do people invest in agricultural commodities as an asset class?
(06:40) El Nino and La...
Published 08/29/23
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Ole Hanse, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank.
Together they debate whether we are at a turning point in commodities after central bank hawkishness created headwinds for the asset class this year.
(00:00) Intro
(00:55) Disclaimer
(01:31) Meet Ole
(04:05) What big trends are we currently seeing?
(07:43) Are we reaching peak bearishness?
(11:00) US inflation - Can the Fed afford to take a break?
(14:09)...
Published 08/01/23
This week, Nitesh and Mobeen are joined by Francisco Blanch, Managing Director, Head of Global Economics and Derivatives research at Bank of America Securities.
Together they discuss what common threads weave together the fate of energy and industrial metals and what forces might drive them apart in the future.
(00:00) Intro and Disclaimer
(01:51) Market recap
(04:40) Current positioning in oil futures
(07:40) Russian sanctions
(10:40) US oil rigs
(13:57) The IEA's June oil market...
Published 07/04/23
This week, Nitesh is joined by James Steel, Chief Precious Metals Analyst at HSBC. Together they discuss all things gold and precious metals.
(00:00) Introduction and disclaimer
(02:00) Market recap
(04:35) Who are gold investors?
(08:53) The relationship between Gold and real rates
(12:40) The US Debt Deal - How will it affect gold?
(18:45) Background on James Steel and analysing the markets over the years
(29:44) Let's talk about other precious metals
(41:53)...
Published 06/09/23
People have been investing in gold for thousands of years. Other asset classes have emerged, ownership structures have evolved, but the notion of holding physical gold as a store of wealth has endured the test of time. What is it about this commodity that still appeals to investors today? And how can we model its price behaviour? All of this and more in this episode of the commodity exchange.
You can follow our panellists on Twitter at:
Nitesh: https://twitter.com/NiteshShahWT
Mobeen:...
Published 05/10/23
Welcome to the first episode of our new podcast The Next Big Thing, a podcast discussing the 'big' megatrends disrupting the future.
Megatrends are changing our world. We’ve seen the internet and smartphones transform our lives and, more recently, have seen artificial intelligence touted as ‘the next big thing’, with the emergence of software like ChatGPT. So, what’s next? In this episode, all about AI, our host Chris is joined by Brian Comiskey, Director, Thematic Programs, Consumer...
Published 04/18/23
Welcome to the first episode of our new podcast The Commodity Exchange, a podcast for those looking to make sense of the landscape, and understand the key drivers behind prices.
Since the Covid-induced market crash at the start of 2020, commodities have had a strong run. This has encouraged many people to wonder if we are in a commodity supercycle. Are we in a supercycle? What cyclical and structural forces are driving commodity prices today, and might influence prices in the future? All...
Published 04/11/23
Commodities can be impacted by a whole host of factors, from geopolitical risk to climate change. For those looking to make sense of the landscape, and understand the key drivers behind prices, our podcast offers insights and academic discussion from Europe’s leading commodity exchange-traded fund provider.
Published 04/01/23