Episodes
Developer Insolvencies Surge to 10 year high. Private Credit funds shut the gates. Inflation ticks higher, stoking concerns for the Bank of Canada. No GST for the holidays, Trudeau opens up the cheque book. Budget deficit concerns increase.
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Published 11/22/24
The Canadian dollar continues to weaken. Canada Pension plans gets political, potentially locking capital in Canada. The German economy continues to sputter. Housing activity bounces on rate cut optimism.
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Published 11/15/24
Canada's immigration demise was years in the making. Trump gets back to the White House, what are the market implications? Stocks, crypto and bond yields surge higher. The Federal government continues to punish the Oil & gas sector, implementing defacto production caps.
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Published 11/08/24
The Canadian dollar has tumbled to its lowest levels in 4 years. Canada GDP slows, sets the stage for another rate cut from the Bank of Canada. US election to bring increased volatility to financial markets. The UK gilt market gets its second warning. The German industrial base is suffocating.
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Published 11/01/24
The Bank of Canada delivered a 50bps rate cut and signalled more to come. The Bond market hasn't budged. Money is still flowing out of China as the economy wobbles. The Trudeau government announces immigration cuts, population growth to zero next year.
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Published 10/25/24
Canada CPI falls well below expectations, sets up a jumbo rate cut next week. European Central bank slashes rates again. Stocks, the USD dollar, and gold all rise on an easing of financial conditions. Will the bond vigilantes return?
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Published 10/18/24
The Federal government proposes an empty land tax. Former BoC deputy governor says 50bps cut is coming. Oil prices move higher along with long term bond yields. US CPI comes in hotter than expected. Central banks easing globally into higher inflation?
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Published 10/11/24
Central banks are aggressively easing and liquidity measures are turning up. Geopolitical conflict is ramping up, putting upwards pressure on oil prices, could this stoke another wave of inflation? Toronto and Vancouver Real Estate see rising inventory levels despite lower rates.
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Published 10/04/24
OSFI removes mortgage stress test on renewals. The BC Government will help you buy a home. Has Canadian energy peaked? Microsoft bets big on Nuclear energy and AI. The Chinese have fired the liquidity bazooka to try and revive its economy.
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Published 09/27/24
The federal government shocks the market by pushing CMHC insured mortgages up to $1.5M. The Bank of Canada finally gets inflation back down to 2%. The Federal Reserve surprises markets, cuts rates by 50bps.
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Published 09/20/24
The unemployment rate moves higher. Rental and housing market continues to soften. The ECB cuts rates, more to come as the German economy weakens. US CPI comes in hotter than expected ahead of the Fed meeting next week.
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Published 09/13/24
The BoC cuts rates again, cautions home prices could rise. NDP kills the coalition with the liberal government, is a federal election coming soon? Rents falling in University cities, mortgage rates drift lower. US job market weakens as stock market wobbles.
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Published 09/06/24
The Liberal government says they will change the temporary foreign worker program to slow immigration further. More signs of a weakening labour market. Canadian banks write off more bad loans. Toronto new home sales plunge to levels we've never seen before. Net zero without Chinese EV's.
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Published 08/30/24
Canada CPI inflation comes in lower, cementing another rate cut from the Bank of Canada. Economist and political insider Dr. Mike Moffatt explains how housing and immigration went so wrong, so quickly, and how to fix it. US jobs data gets revised nearly 1 million jobs lower ahead of Powell speech.
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Published 08/23/24
The UN accuses Canada's foreign worker program as modern slavery. The feds will convert these low skill immigrants to permanent residency status. Real Estate insolvencies surge to highest levels in more than two decades. Consensus calls for more rate cuts from the BoC and the Fed.
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Published 08/16/24
The Yen carry trade blows up after BoJ announces surprise rate hike. Markets call for immediate rate cuts. AirBnb data in Canada suggests governments are misguided. Temporary foreign workers surge, pushing youth unemployment higher.
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Published 08/09/24
Was the devastation of Jasper National Park avoidable? Who's to blame? What ails the Canadian economy, and how to cut the green tape. Lowering emissions globally will require Canadian LNG. Bond yields tumble, Fed set to cut, financial markets are moving.
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Published 08/02/24
The BoC cut rates, highlighting excess supply and concerns over a weakening labour market. The Canadian dollar continues to weaken, with more rate cuts expected. US GDP came in stronger than expected, perhaps delaying any rate cuts in the US. Repo issues brewing in Canada, suggesting collateral concerns are growing at some banks.
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Published 07/26/24
Twinkie bets are live! Markets are calling for a rate cut next week and more to come. Lagging shelter inflation could bring CPI even lower. More pain to come for Real Estate developers. Political volatility is increasing. The death of ESG and DEI?
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Published 07/19/24
Foreign direct investment has turned negative in China as capital leaves. The property market is wobbling and threatens to bring deflation to the rest of the world. The devalued Japanese Yen is creating headaches for the Chinese manufacturing sector. What are the implications for Canadians?
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Published 07/12/24
Home sales in Vancouver & Toronto plummet. Policy makers are doubling down on bad policy. Stories of financial stress are mounting. ISM services index falls to levels last seen during the depths of the pandemic. The presidential election heats up.
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Published 07/05/24
Rent inflation surged pushing the CPI basket higher. The Liberals lose an important by election in Toronto. Will JT resign? Toronto new home sales fall off a cliff. The labour market weakens for new immigrants. The Japanese yen continues to roll lower, a key signpost for the global sovereign debt bubble.
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Published 06/28/24
Cities are taking housing accelerator funds and then raising development fees to crush supply. Canada's population surges again. Living standards have not improved in 7 years. Government muzzles oil and gas companies from promoting fossil fuels. Speculators have a record short position on the loonie.
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Published 06/21/24
US CPI data came in softer than expected but that didn't sway the fed. Projections now call for one cut this year. Producer prices are outright declining. Canadian housing can't be fixed, surging taxes killing development. The pendulum is swinging to the right as voters reject the status quo.
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Published 06/14/24