On 14 May 2023, the extremely severe cyclonic storm Mocha made landfall between Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh and Kyaukpyu township in Myanmar. The cyclone caused significant damage to critical infrastructure, houses, and shelters in western and northern Myanmar, including Chin, Kachin, Magway, Rakhine, and Sagaing states, and in Bangladesh’s southeastern Chattogram division. In Myanmar, initial estimations suggest that the cyclone has affected approximately 5.4 million people in Chin, Magway,...

On 3 May 2023, the Kuki tribal group held an organised protest march in the northeastern Indian state of Manipur against the majority Meitei community being recognised as a Scheduled Tribe. The march resulted in violent clashes with the Meitei non-tribal group. As at 16 May, the Imphal and Churachandpur district hospital morgues had reported at least 70 deaths. Various sources indicate that an estimated 30,000–45,000 people have been forced to flee . Authorities sent thousands of federal...

On 9 May 2023, Israel launched air raids on several areas across the Gaza Strip, with claims to target members of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) movement. In response, according to the Israeli authorities, on 10 May, the PIJ fired around 400 rockets from Gaza, some of which were misfired and fell inside the Gaza Strip. Between 9–13 May, Israel conducted a series of air strikes on the Gaza Strip under Operation Shield and Arrow. On 13 May, a ceasefire was declared between the Israeli...

Since 15 April 2023, intense fighting has been occurring in the capital Khartoum and other parts of the country, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and Sudan Armed Forces (SAF). The heavy fighting has resulted in forced displacement into neighbouring countries, including Ethiopia, and will have broader implications for conflict in the region. The escalation of clashes in Sudan has led to an influx of refugees, returnees, and third-country nationals into Ethiopia. The primary entry point...

In 2023, 21 million people in Yemen are estimated to be in need of humanitarian assistance and protection. Eight years of conflict have left millions of women, men, boys, and girls suffering from the compounded effects of armed violence, an economic crisis, and the disruption of public services. These have affected the lives of large segments of the population, particularly women and girls, marginalised groups, and certain socioeconomic categories. The social dynamics in Yemen have also...

There are about 931,000 registered Rohingya refugees living in the refugee camps of Ukhia and Teknaf upazilas in Cox’s Bazar, the world’s largest refugee settlement. The Kutupalong Balukhali refugee campsite in Ukhia is the largest and most dense refugee camp in the world, housing more than 630,000 Rohingya refugees. Nearly 30,000 registered Rohingya refugees have been relocated and are living in houses in Bhasan Char, an island off the Bangladeshi coast. All Rohingya refugees living in Cox’s...

It has been just over two years since Myanmar’s military staged a coup in February 2021 and established itself as the military junta in power, officially known as the State Administrative Council (SAC). Since then, the country has been in a state of emergency, which was extended for an additional six months on 31 January 2023. The state of emergency has enabled the military to assume all government functions and gives the head of the military junta, Min Aung Hlaing, legislative, judicial, and...

Since 15 April 2023, fighting has broken out in Sudan between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces. On 24 April, the two conflicting parties agreed on a 72-hour ceasefire which partly held although sporadic artillery gunfire could still be heard in Khartoum. Fighting has since continued with displacements reported in Khartoum, Northern, Blue Nile, North Kordofan, North Darfur, West Darfur and South Darfur states, including cross-border movements to surrounding...

On 15 April 2023, a violent power struggle broke out in Sudan’s capital of Khartoum between the two main factions of the ruling military regime: the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), which acts as the official Sudanese army, and a rival paramilitary force, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). As at 18 April, at least 200 people were dead, and 1,800 were injured. The violence broke out as a result of rising tensions between Sudan’s most powerful generals. These generals jointly staged a coup d’état in...

On 15 April 2023, fighting erupted between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), mainly in Khartoum, the capital, Omdurman town, and Merowe city in Northern state. Fighting rapidly spread to cities in other states, such as Nyala (South Darfur state), Al Fasher (North Darfur state), Al Obied (North Kordofan), and Ag Geneina (West Darfur state). As at 29 April, fighting had killed at least 410 civilians and injured more than 2,000, with numbers likely to increase...

ACAPS Global Risk Analysis outlines a number of key contexts where a particular situation may notably deteriorate within the next six months, causing (a spike in) humanitarian needs. The risks included in this report were based on certain events or factors (triggers) that may emerge over the coming six months. Such triggers would point towards a hazard materialising, which would result in new or more severe humanitarian needs in a monitored context. ACAPS analysts conduct daily monitoring and...

Insecurity and attacks from non-state armed groups in Burkina Faso have reportedly forced entire villages to flee, with many crossing the border into neighbouring Côte d’Ivoire to seek safety. According to the National Security Council of Côte d’Ivoire, as at 2 Feburary, roughly 8,700 people from Burkina Faso had newly sought refuge in the country, mainly in the towns of Kong and Ouangolodougou of Tchologo region and Téhini town of Buonkani region. Although it is not clear when the “influx”...

As at mid-March, the death toll throughout Syria had reached 5,800, with the majority (around 4,500) recorded in northwestern Syria. 10,000 were injured. Overall, the earthquakes have affected more than 8.8 million people in the country displaced over 360,000, mostly in Aleppo and Lattakia. This report provides a snapshot of the humanitarian access situation and response capacity in northwestern Syria since 6 February, in both GCAs and NGCAs affected by the earthquakes. It is directed at...

Between 1–3 March 2023, a rare double cyclone event occurred involving two category 4 tropical cyclones, Judy and Kevin, hitting Vanuatu. The cyclone contained destructive force winds with an average speed of 150kph, with peak gusts reaching up to 220kph. Heavy rains, thunderstorms, and rough seas accompanied these winds. Early estimates by local government authorities indicate that the cyclones have affected approximately 250,000 people, equivalent to more than 80% of the population;...

One month after the 7.8 and 7.5 earthquakes hit Türkiye and Syria on 6 February 2023, recovery response is still underway. The earthquakes severely affected northwestern Syria, where about 4.5 million people live. In Türkiye, the most affected provinces are Adana, Adıyaman, Diyarbakır, Elazıg, Gaziantep, Hatay, Kahramanmaras, Kilis, Malatya, Osmaniye, and Sanlıurfa, where about 14 million people reside, including 1.8 million Syrian refugees. Two weeks after the initial earthquakes, on 20...

In Djibouti, drought is affecting around 200,000 people. The current drought started in 2020 and has continued with five below-average rainy seasons. The most recent IPC projections, from May 2022, predicted that around 192,000 people (18% of the population) would be acutely food-insecure and experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse food insecurity levels in the country between July–December 2023. As at October 2022, about 72,000 people, including 29,000 children, were in need of humanitarian...

As at 16 February 2023, Türkiye had reported over 36,400 earthquake-related deaths. Between 15–16 February, the death toll increased by roughly 1,000. The numbers of both dead and injured people are rising as rescuers continue to find people under the rubble. As at 16 February, at least 9.1 million people were known to be directly affected across the 11 hardest-hit provinces in Türkiye. This report is an extension of the profiles of earthquake-affected areas in Türkiye and Syria published on...

On 6 February 2023 at 4:17h (GMT+03:00), a 7.8 earthquake hit the region of Kahramanmaras in southeastern Türkiye, affecting areas of southern Türkiye and northwestern Syria. Less than 12 hours later, at 13:45h (GMT+03:00), a 7.6 earthquake hit the same region. While the figures of people in need are still to be determined, 12 million people reside in the affected areas of southeastern Türkiye, including two million Syrian refugees. In Syria, more than six million have been affected. As at 12...

In the aftermath of the earthquakes, most of the humanitarian work is focused on search-and-rescue activities and responding to the immediate humanitarian needs of the affected populations. With the complex evolution of the crisis and new dynamics emerging, there is also a need to anticipate the development of the situation in the near future. This report provides an overview exposition of what to watch for over the next month, highlighting key variables to monitor that could play a role in...

This SIMP report identifies events and themes that emerged from October–December from the information landscape on Yemen that have had, or are likely to have, a social impact. Social impact is broadly defined as the effect on people and communities of a specific action or event or the lack of action to intervene in a situation. The choice of themes was based on the considered significance of their impact (or potential impact) on people. The report aims to support the understanding of the...

Since 15 August 2021, when the Taliban seized Kabul, the context in which NGOs are operating in Afghanistan has changed. Widespread conflict has decreased, significantly improving humanitarian access in the country. This report aims to develop a preliminary understanding of the different challenges that NNGOs face in Afghanistan. While comprehensive localisation comprises many dimensions, this report focuses on understanding the challenges that NNGOs face in the four most prevalent dimensions...

On 6 February 2023 at 4:17h, local time in Türkiye (01:17 GMT), an earthquake with a magnitude of 7.8 hit Türkiye and northwestern Syria. It mainly affected the cities of Adana, Adiyaman, Diyarbakir, Gaziantep, Hatay, Kahraman Maras, Kilis, Malatya, Osmaniye, and Sanliurfa in southeastern Türkiye and Aleppo, Hama, Idlib, Lattakie, and Tartous governorates in northwestern Syria Sources and additional information are available in the PDF report on the ACAPS website.

The stability observed in November was partially the result of the announcement of upcoming support to the Central Bank of Yemen (CBY) in Aden, namely, a conversion of the Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) and financial support from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. On 17 November, the Chairman of the Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) of the IRG, Rashid Al-Alimi, announced that CBY-Aden will receive USD 300 million by converting a portion of Yemen’s SDRs as issued by the IMF. The YETI bimonthly...

This report aims to identify the most important contextual developments in Ukraine and provide an anticipatory level of analysis. It includes an outlook into how the current dynamics can develop and on potential risks that could further deteriorate the situation of the affected population. The Current Context Analysis and Outlook section aims to identify probable developments, while the Risk Analysis section aims to identify plausible futures with significant negative humanitarian...

Since 12 December 2022, Azerbaijani ‘eco-activists’ have blocked the Lachin corridor. They state that the main reason for the blockade is to stop the mining of gold and copper in the area. The Lachin corridor connects Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia and is crucial for the transportation of essential goods to ethnic Armenian people residing in the region. Essential medicine and food are scarce because of the blockade. It is affecting over 120,000 Armenian people, including 30,000 children,...