[Week 4] ”“International Security” and “AI Ideal Governance” sections of “AI Governance: A Research Agenda”” by Allan Dafoe
Description
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a potent general purpose technology. Future progress could be
rapid, and experts expect that superhuman capabilities in strategic domains will be achieved
in the coming decades. The opportunities are tremendous, including advances in medicine
and health, transportation, energy, education, science, economic growth, and environmental
sustainability. The risks, however, are also substantial and plausibly pose extreme
governance challenges. These include labor displacement, inequality, an oligopolistic global
market structure, reinforced totalitarianism, shifts and volatility in national power, strategic
instability, and an AI race that sacrifices safety and other values. The consequences are
plausibly of a magnitude and on a timescale to dwarf other global concerns. Leaders of
governments and firms are asking for policy guidance, and yet scholarly attention to the AI
revolution remains negligible. Research is thus urgently needed on the AI governance
problem: the problem of devising global norms, policies, and institutions to best ensure the
beneficial development and use of advanced AI.
This report outlines an agenda for this research, dividing the field into three research clusters.
The first cluster, the technical landscape, seeks to understand the technical inputs,
possibilities, and constraints for AI. The second cluster, AI politics, focuses on the political
dynamics between firms, governments, publics, researchers, and other actors. The final
research cluster of AI ideal governance envisions what structures and dynamics we would
ideally create to govern the transition to advanced artificial intelligence.
Visit www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/govaiagenda to check for the most recent version of this paper.
Source:
https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/GovAI-Agenda.pdf
Narrated for AGI Safety Fundamentals by Perrin Walker of TYPE III AUDIO.
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