Stephen and James Grugett are programmers, entrepreneurs, and cofounders of the website Manifold Markets, which hosts user-created prediction markets. They join the podcast to discuss the CSPI/Salem Tournament on Manifold Markets, which launched last week. The Grugetts and Richard talk about the origins of Manifold, what differentiates it from other prediction markets, and how their version of creating a new Listen in podcast form or watch on YouTube. Links: * Manifold Markets * CSPI/Salem Tournament on Manifold Markets * Richard Hanania, “Introducing the Salem/CSPI Forecasting Tournament” * Richard Hanania, “Salem Tournament, 5 Days in” * The Economist, “How Spooks are Turning to Superforecasting in the Cosmic Bazaar” * Manifold Markets Statistics Get full access to Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology at www.cspicenter.com/subscribe