The most dangerous states in the international system aren't necessarily revisionist powers that think that their trajectory points continually upward. It's those countries that have been growing, rising for a long time, and then fear that they are peaking and are about to decline. Those are the countries that are inclined to take the biggest risks to try to improve their position in the the here and now before things get worse for them in the future. Hal Brands Access Bonus Episodes on Patreon Make a one-time Donation to Democracy Paradox. A full transcript is available at www.democracyparadox.com. Hal Brands is the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. He is the coauthor (with Michael Beckley) of Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China and the author of The Twilight Struggle: What the Cold War Teaches Us About Great-Power Rivalry Today. Key Highlights Introduction - 0:43Peaking Power Theory - 3:12The Original Cold War - 22:28China as a Peaking Power - 31:14American Policy Toward China - 41:56 Key Links Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China by Hal Brands and Michael Beckley The Twilight Struggle: What the Cold War Teaches Us about Great-Power Rivalry Today by Hal Brands "China’s Threat to Global Democracy" in Journal of Democracy by Hal Brands and Michael Beckley Democracy Paradox Podcast Josh Chin on China’s Surveillance State Elizabeth Economy in a Wide Ranging Conversation About China More Episodes from the Podcast More Information Democracy Group Apes of the State created all Music Email the show at [email protected] Follow on Twitter @DemParadox, Facebook, Instagram @democracyparadoxpodcast 100 Books on Democracy   Support the show