Jurrien Timmer's global macro view – June 3, 2024
Listen now
Description
U.S. Equity markets opened mixed this week to kick off a new month of trading. This week, investors can expect several economic data reports, including a key jobs report on Friday. Today's guest says we are in a "7 by 7 cycle", and that bonds are the new centre of gravity. Here to explain these thoughts and much more is Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer. He introduces us to the concept of a "7 by 7 cycle", suggesting that we're in the seventh inning of both the business cycle and the secular bull market. He explains that while the market has made new highs, it's still relatively early in the cycle, with historical patterns indicating potential for further gains. He highlights the shift from valuation-driven gains to earnings-driven gains, showcasing improving earnings and margins as positive indicators. He also notes the potential high risk posed by rising bond yields, which could lead to occasional tantrums in the stock market. The interview also touches on the concentration of gains in mega-cap stocks, the Fed's monetary policy stance, and the implications of fiscal dominance on bond markets. As per usual Jurrien will be sharing some charts, so please head to @TimmerFidelity on X to follow along.   Recorded on June 3, 2024.   At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For the third year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked the #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2023 Environics’ Advisor Digital Experience Study.
More Episodes
In this episode, we speak to Director of quantitative market strategy Denise Chisholm as she provides her insights on what sectors to keep an on eye on plus what recent data point are telling us about the current market environment. Denise believes we have experienced what she calls a very...
Published 06/22/24
North American equity markets opened mixed this week, and U.S. treasury yields ticked  higher. Over the weekend, the Minneapolis Fed President teased that the central bank may not cut rates until December. To unpack this, joining the show today to share his latest market thesis is Fidelity...
Published 06/21/24
Published 06/21/24