Hannes Leitgeb (MCMP/LMU) gives a lecture at the Carl-Friedrich-von-Siemens-Stiftung titled "Logic and the Brain". Introductory words by Enno Aufderheide (secretary gemeral, Humboldt Foundation).

Branden Fitelson (Rutgers University) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Bayesian Methods in Philosophy titled "Accuracy & Coherence". Abstract: In this talk, I will explore a new way of thinking about the relationship between accuracy norms and coherence norms in epistemology (generally). In the first part of the talk, I will apply the basic ideas to qualitative judgments (belief and disbelief). This will lead to an interesting coherence norm for qualitative judgments (but one which is...

Hannes Leitgeb (MCMP/LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Bayesian Methods in Philosophy titled "The Lockean Thesis Revisited".

Peter Schroeder-Heister (Tübingen) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium Mathematical Philosophy - first part: "Proof-theoretic semantics and the format of deductive reasoning", second part: "Prawitz's completeness conjecture (A sketch of some ideas)".

Niki Pfeifer (MCMP/LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Bayesian Methods in Philosophy titled "Applying coherence based probability logic to philosophical problems".

Richard Bradley (LSE) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium titled "Conditionals and Suppositions". Abstract: Adams' Thesis - the claim that the probabilities of indicative conditionals equal the conditional probabilities of their consequents given their antecedents - has proven impossible to accommodate within orthodox possible worlds semantics. This paper considers the approaches to the problem taken by Jeffrey and Stalnaker (1994) and by McGee (1989), but rejects them on the grounds that...

Alistair M. C. Isaac (University of Michigan) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium titled "Diachronic Dutch Book Arguments for Forgetful Agents". Abstract: I present a general strategy for applying diachronic Dutch book arguments to bounded agents, with particular focus on forgetful agents. Dutch book arguments were introduced by subjectivists about probability to test the consistency of synchronic epistemic norms. Diachronic Dutch book arguments (DDBs) apply this technique to test the...

Matthew Braham (University of Bayreuth) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium titled "The Contradiction in Will Test: A Reconstruction".

Vincenzo Crupi (MCMP/LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Bayesian Methods in Philosophy titled "Formal epistemological explication (news for the Bayesian agenda)".

Georg Schiemer (MCMP/LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Carnap titled "Carnap on extremal axioms and categoricity". Abstract: The talk will investigate Carnap's early contributions to formal semantics in his work on general axiomatics between 1928 and 1936. Inparticular, we give a historically sensitive discussion of Carnap's theoryof extremal axioms from the late 1920s onwards. The main focus is seton the unpublished documents of the projected second part of...

Jan-Willem Romeijn (University of Groningen) gives a talk in the talk series "MCMP & Statistics Department" titled "Frequencies, Chances and Undefinable Sets". Abstract: In this talk I aim to clarify the concept of chance. The talk consists of two parts, concerning the epistemology and metaphysics of chance respectively. In the first part I consider statistical hypothese and their role in inference. I maintain that statistical hypotheses are best explicated along frequentist lines,...

Charles B. Cross (University of Georgia) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Bayesian Methods in Philosophy titled "Knowledge about Probability in the Monty Hall Problem".

Michael Friedman (Stanford) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium titled "Mathematical Science, Naturalism, and Normativity". Abstract: I address concerns in contemporary philosophy about the place of mathematics andmoral (and other) norms in a naturalistic world picture. I think that these worriesare largely misplaced, and I address them with an historical narrative from Platoto Kant, beginning from the fact that Plato's original "platonism" (in the theoryof forms) tried to give a kind of...

Neil Tennant (Ohio State University) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium titled "Core Logic".

Tomasz Placek (Jagiellonian University, Kraków) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium titled "Possibilities without possible worlds/histories". Abstract: Possible worlds have turned out to be a particularly useful tool of modal metaphysics, although their globality makes them philosophically suspect. Hence, it would be desirable to arrive at some local modal notions that could be used instead of possible worlds. In this talk I will focus on what is known as historical (or real) modalities, an...

Members of the MCMP (Julien Murzi, Johannes Stern, Martin Fischer, Ole Hjortland, Marta Sznayder, Norbert Gratzl, Johannes Korbmacher) present their current research

Volker Halbach (Oxford) gives a talk at the Workshop on Mathematical Philosophy titled "Self-reference". Abstract: What does it mean for a sentence to say about itself that it is P? Here P can stand for any unary sentential function such as 'is provable', 'is not provable', 'is true', or 'is a sentence'. I will study this question in a metamathematical setting. After reviewing some early attempts to tackle the question and their impact on problems in metamathematics such as Henkin's problem,...

Members of the MCMP (Roland Poellinger, Florian Steinberger, Thomas Meier, Vincenzo Crupi and Olivier Roy) present their current research.

Teddy Seidenfeld (CMU) gives a talk in the talk series "MCMP & Statistics Department" titled "Three contrasts between two senses of coherence" (Joint work with M. J. Schervish and J. B. Kadane – Statistics, CMU). Abstract: B. de Finetti defended two senses of coherence in providing foundations for his theory of subjective probabilities. Coherence 1 requires that when a decision maker announces fair prices for random variables these are immune to a uniform sure-loss - no Book is possible...

André Carus (Chicago/Cambridge) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Carnap titled "From Analysis to Explication". Abstract: Analytic philosophy was named for the "analysis" of propositions begun by Russelland Moore in the first years of the twentieth century, epitomized by the theory ofdescriptions.This style of analysis has been joined by many others since then. But they all share certain common defects, which are overcome by "explication," areplacement for all forms of analysis developed...

Vincent Hendricks (Copenhagen/Columbia) gives a talk at the Workshop on Mathematical Philosophy titled "IPAD – Information Processing and the Analysis of Democracy". Abstract: Only one species have configured a democracy and decided to live according to deliberative democratic guidelines. The configuration and decision is particular to man. A deliberative democracy is characterized by both group deliberation, decision and action. Central to this epistemic composite is information as...