Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Global Investment Strategist Peter Berezin about the implications of AI on the economy and financial markets. How long will it take for the economic impact to be felt? How will it affect the labor market? And will tech stocks be the primary beneficiary of the AI revolution? For a longer discussion of the safety risks around AI, check out Peter’s Twitter account.

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Equity Strategist Irene Tunkel about her takeaways from the Q1 earnings season. Why haven’t investors rewarded positive earnings surprises as much as they typically do? How is the current macro environment impacting corporate profitability? And when will the profit recession end?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Political Strategist Matt Gertken about the forces driving the US debt ceiling standoff. What concessions are Democrats most likely to agree to? What would happen if Congress fails to achieve a deal to raise the debt limit before the “X-date”? And what are the fiscal and financial market implications?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to Chief Strategist of BCA Research’s Counterpoint service Dhaval Joshi about his take on Fed policy. Why haven’t long-term inflation expectations broken out? What are the lessons from the Fed’s attempts to slay inflation in the 1970s and 1980s? And what are some of the most mispriced financial market assets?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategist Chester Ntonifor about the implications of de-dollarization. Will the de-dollarization trend have an imminent impact on currency markets? Which assets will benefit most from the de-dollarization trend? And given that the greenback is a momentum currency, is the dollar likely to decline further over the coming months?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research US Bond Strategist Ryan Swift about the economic forces driving Fed policy. Is the disinflation process progressing? What will be the impact of last month’s bank turmoil on Fed policy? And what will it take for the Fed to cut interest rates in H2?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research Chief Commodity & Energy Strategist Bob Ryan about the oil market outlook following the recent OPEC+ announcement of further production cuts. What is the reason behind the group’s surprise decision to cut output? Will US shale producers step in to fill the output gap? And will the cuts cause oil market fundamentals to tighten and push up oil prices on a durable basis?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research Strategist Juan Correa about recent trends in cryptocurrencies and the longer-term outlook. Will the tight correlation between the price of bitcoin and equities continue going forward? What would be the impact of the collapse of another cryptocurrency exchange? And how will greater regulatory scrutiny affect the crypto market and industry?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Investment Strategist Doug Peta about the implications of bank sector stress on the outlook for the US economy and Fed policy. Will the turmoil bring forward the beginning of the next US recession? Is a blanket insurance for bank deposits a prerequisite for stemming the deposit outflow from community and regional banks and restoring financial stability? What will be the impact of bank turmoil on Fed policy in 2023?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Investment Strategist Irene Tunkel about the banking tumult. What is behind the crisis? What will be the main drivers of bank stocks going forward? And how will the banking turmoil play out for US equities more broadly?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategist Matt Gertken about his initial takeaways following the opening of China’s National People’s Congress. Do the economic targets foreshadow disappointing economic growth this year? Is China prioritizing security over advancing its economy? And what are the policy implications of the leadership reshuffle?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategist Mathieu Savary about the implications of persistent inflationary pressures in the Eurozone on ECB policy, the economy and equities. Why is core CPI inflation still accelerating in the Euro Area? Are further significant ECB hikes warranted? And is the restrictive policy stance a risk to the outperformance of Euro Area equities?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s US Bond Strategist Ryan Swift about US inflation and the monetary policy outlook. Is the disinflation process stalling? What are the implications for Fed policy this year? And is the Fed likely to respond to the easing of financial conditions that has occurred over the past few months?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Global Fixed Income Strategist Rob Robis about the global monetary policy outlook. Are we likely to see greater policy divergence across economies this year? Does the recent resilience of economic data suggest that policymakers will have to stay hawkish for longer? And will the BoJ shift to a less accommodative policy stance?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Commodity & Energy Strategist Bob Ryan about supply and demand dynamics facing global oil markets. What will be the impact of the EU ban on Russian refined oil products? Why has the oil price response to China’s reopening been relatively muted? And will the OPEC+ coalition raise its production targets in 2023?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Global Strategist Peter Berezin about the housing market outlook. How severe will the US housing downturn be? What are the implications for the broader US economy? And how vulnerable are foreign housing markets?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategist Chester Ntonifor about the dollar’s recent depreciation. What is driving this weakness? Has the greenback peaked? And what should investors be watching at next week’s Fed and ECB meetings to guide the dollar outlook?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Emerging Markets and China Investment strategist Arthur Budaghyan about China’s population decline. Why does it matter for investors? What policy options are available for Beijing to try to arrest the downtrend? And what are the implications for the economic policy outlook?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to Jonathan LaBerge, Vice President of BCA Research’s Bank Credit Analyst service, about the outlook for the economy and financial markets in 2023. Will the US economy succumb to recession? How severe is the next recession likely to be? And how should global investors position themselves in 2023?    

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Emerging Markets and China Investment strategist Arthur Budaghyan about his outlook for the Chinese economy and equities. Will Beijing abandon the zero-Covid policy? Will a relaxation of pandemic restrictions lead to a meaningful economic recovery? What are the implications of a struggling property sector on Chinese bank stocks? And do cheap valuations present a good opportunity for investors to increase exposure to Chinese equities?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Equity Strategist Irene Tunkel about long-term opportunities in the US equity market.

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief US Investment Strategist Doug Peta about his outlook for the US economy and stock market. Will US consumption hold up? What are the implications for corporate earnings? And is there scope for US equities to rally over the coming months?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist Matt Gertken about the results of the US midterm election. What are the implications for domestic and foreign policy? Is gridlock positive for financial markets? And what are the implications for the 2024 presidential election?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist Matt Gertken about his takeaways following China’s twentieth national party congress as well as his expectations for the US midterm election. What are Beijing’s priorities going forward? What are the implications of the composition of China’s new Politburo? Will authorities relax the “dynamic zero-Covid policy?” And will US Republicans win Congress or just the House?

Host Roukaya Ibrahim talks to BCA Research’s Chief European Investment Strategist Mathieu Savary about the outlook for the ECB following its jumbo rate hike on October 27.  Can the ECB maintain the brisk pace of tightening? When will it kick off QT? What will it take to activate the TPI? And importantly, what are the implications for the euro, financials, and Eurozone bond markets?