A rare SPC High Risk for strong, long-track tornadoes later Monday & Monday evening in OK and KS, while tranquil, mild conditions prevail through Tuesday in WNY, with a wetter and cooler pattern to follow. PLEASE SHARE.

Lots of rainfree time Saturday and Sunday afternoons, but unsettled conditions return by Tuesday evening after a nice start to the week. Wed/Thur will bring periods of showers, with a cooler pattern beginning to set up late in the week into the following week. PLEASE SHARE.

Temperatures will be running above average starting Wednesday through all of next week, possibly including some low 80s on Friday...cold fronts with no cold air behind them will be the rule for some time to come. PLEASE SHARE.

Gardeners, frost and freeze conditions will be with us Wednesday and Thursday nights, but a notable warmup will begin by Friday into next week...though not without complications. PLEASE SHARE.

A mixed bag of weather into the weekend and next week, none of it especially warm...but there will be some decent days mixed in. PLEASE SHARE, FOLLOW.

Gusty winds and the sometimes raw wind chill they produce will hold into Saturday. Rain showers Friday night will turn to some slushy snow late Friday night over the hills, and the mixed showers will wind down Saturday AM. Occ'l Showers & a few Tstorms will return Sunday, ahead of a temporary warming trend.

Hi res satellite imagery shows rapid movement of the cloud deck and the clearing which trails behind it to the NE. Models have clearing arriving just too late for totality in westernmost WNY, but imagery leaves slivers of hope. Also, a forecast for the week ahead, including 70s on Tuesday!

Some broken upper level and mid level cloudiness is likely to move over WNY during Monday, but the news is NOT all bad. In fact, some partial cloud cover may present different types of spectacle than you might be expecting. PLEASE SHARE.

While Western New York cloud climatology--past history--wasn't very optimistic for eclipse viewing, it was never a substitute for a data-driven actual weather FORECAST for April 8th. The good news is the actual forecast is better than climatology. Please SHARE, FOLLOW.

Nasty, windy, rainy...a Flood WATCH up for WNY late Tue nite-Thur PM for possible urban/poor drainage flooding PLUS only Guarded optimism for eclipse cloud forecast, and by "guarded" I mean imperfect viewing based on current data.

Some Saturday showers should be gone for a mostly to partly cloudy Easter Sunday, with lighter winds both weekend days. Some Tue-Wed rain may change to a little slushy snow Wed night/Thur AM. Early hints point to moderating temps next weekend and for the eclipse. I'll be filling in on News 4 Saturday evening and Monday, starting at 4 thru 11.

The warming peaks early this week, on Monday and Tuesday, with COOLer, not Colder temps to follow. PLUS why eclipse cloud cover forecasts 2 weeks in advance are essentially worthless.

The peak warming this week occurs early, on Monday and Tuesday, followed by COOLer, not COLDer temperatures beginning Wednesday, more along the lines of "seasonable." PLUS why eclipse cloud cover forecasts 2 weeks in advance are not worth the bandwidth they devour.

This may be wintry weather's last gasp as far as measurable snow goes coming in by late Friday into early Saturday, with significant, slushy accumulations likely on the Niagara Frontier. A milder pattern is setting up for next week, but no more snow is in sight after this messy snow and mixed precip exits.

Stepping away from science for this one episode to offer a short explanation of my editorial policy on social media.

The long-advertised colder pattern will be setting up on schedule, but it won't be leaving on schedule...it's stretching out into late next week, with no major warmup yet in sight. Also, some chatter on record oceanic warmth, earlier high pollen counts, and a reminder on exploding tick populations. PLEASE SHARE.

After a fairly wet Thursday evening, cooler weather arrives for Friday. Some wind chill will be felt in the Saturday First Ward parade, but Sunday will be raw-er of the 2 parade days with colder temps, a gusty wind, and maybe even a few wet snowflakes. The forecast and extended outlook follow.

After some midweek moderation, and some late week showers, a little cooling arrives for both parade days in Buffalo. Nothing overly harsh, though Sunday may feel a bit chillier than Saturday, with below average temps much of next week...and some Tick Talk following the record warm winter.

After a windy & occasionally wet Saturday, a transition over to snow will occur by Sunday morning. Moderate to marginally heavy amounts will be possible on a raw, windy Sunday on the hills, with much lesser amounts at lower elevations...and we'll look ahead all the way to St. Patrick's weekend.

Despite the chill in the air Wednesday after record warmth Monday and Tuesday, readings are still above average. A weekend storm system will bring us Saturday rain on its warmer side and Sunday snow on its colder side, especially on the hills. Renewed warming returns by midweek, next week. Please Share, Follow.

It's easy to forget what's average in early March...high 30s, when you smash the Monday record high by 9 degrees, with a 72. By Wednesday, we're back to the upper 40s, and it gets TEMPORARILY worse than that during the weekend...probably including a bit of "you know what" in the forecast.

Meteorological/climatological spring is underway, from March through May, after finishing the warmest meteorological winter on record. And we will be off to a warm start! Please Share, Follow.

A borderline wild weather week is in store, with warmer temps, some thunder, and one quick hit of wintry weather (with some flakes) thrown in, plus an extended outlook. Please Share, Follow.

What do you need to know about cloud cover types and probabilities for the coming April 8th Total Eclipse? I fill you in on what I told the Washington Post this week on this topic and while, yes, WNY has higher cloud cover probabilities than San Antonio at that time, there has been some undue pessimism on this topic in the press and on social media.