Risks to risk parity | S6 E17
Listen now
Description
Prices were around $89/bbl last week, but since then there's been a noticeable uptick - not quite reaching $92/bbl and oscillating around $90/bbl since. Refinery margins have weakened, with refined products struggling - with the exception of gasoline. Gasoil is extremely weak, with poor distillate performance in all regions.  EBOB has seen greater strength with the market keen to buy into last week's weakness. Looking to our macro news segment, James unpacks the latest headlines shaking up financial markets. A significant move ensued yesterday (Wednesday 10th April) following yet another robust CPI print. Notably, 2-year bond yields surged a staggering 23 basis points, marking a substantial 4.6% increase on the day.  Concurrently, the dollar strengthened by over 1%, sending equities futures tumbling by 1.4% on the open. The Federal Reserve finds itself in a delicate position after adopting a dovish stance in Q4 2023, with the Overnight Index Swap (OIS) now pricing in just 42 basis points of cuts this year. As commodities face headwinds amidst tighter financial conditions and a stronger dollar, James, Greg and Martha analyse the implications for investors and the broader economic landscape.  The trade idea for this week is to short the May/Jun C3 CP spread. You can watch this trade idea in further detail here: https://youtu.be/8N2bNTOYOqc If you would like to connect with any of our hosts on LinkedIn, please click on the hyperlinks below: Greg Newman: https://www.linkedin.com/in/oilderivatives/ Martha Dowding: https://www.linkedin.com/in/martha-dowding-ab84801a6/ James Brodie: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jamesbrodiecmt/ Chapters for this episode are: 0:00 Welcome  1:43 This week in trading  5:58 Macro market news  25:00 Refinery margins  34:04 Ones to watch 41:43 Poll results and outro
More Episodes
Brent is back in the $80’s this week after a huge rebound and initial sell-off post-OPEC meeting. Crude flat prices are back to where we were pre-OPEC meeting, as the August contract fell to lows of $77/bbl before climbing all the way back up to $82/bbl this morning.The M1 refinery margins in...
Published 06/11/24
Macro-Economic Specialist James Brodie is joined by Onyx Research Analyst Harry Nedeljkovic to discuss what's been happening in the markets, including Friday's US pay roll data, The European elections over the weekend and the big moves in gold. James and Harry will also discuss the Trade of the...
Published 06/10/24
Published 06/10/24