Episodes
Published 09/06/22
Today is a quick episode but we talk about the growing energy crisis in Europe and how it might play out. We cover the monster dollar and why it may bring the Euro's value down to just 85 cents. Last, we do the normal charting and discuss the weird price action. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market related and podcast updates : @chartytrades If you enjoyed this episode and want more content like this, please consider leaving a review. It helps immensely with getting Man vs...
Published 09/06/22
On this episode, we start as always with the Economic news of the week. We talk about J Powell's speech that destroyed the markets despite inflation coming in. We look at the new market rate hike implications and what that may mean for markets. We also cover why the market is pricing out inflation and why that is incredibly dangerous as we head into the winter months. Last, we review the charts and I give my contrarian opinion on what we may see next week. Give me a follow on Instagram for...
Published 08/29/22
On this episode, I am finally back in my home studio with my nice equipment (yay). We start as always with the economic developments including why the housing market is still healthy, why the consumer is still spending like there is no tomorrow and why unemployment and inflation are inversely related. We then go over a recent article by Edward Jones that outline the three most likely outcomes of this Fed tightening cycle. These include the "New Bull Market" scenario, the "Soft-landing"...
Published 08/22/22
On this episode, we start by covering the news including the lower than expected CPI for July and how much the global supply chain has eased according to a certain index. We then cover the wild charts for the week and why even the slightest fundamental changes can invalidate even the stronger technical patterns (i.e. The CPI beat outweighed the multitude of bearish divergences). Last, we go over the five main reasons that the market has rallied this hard and what we think could come...
Published 08/15/22
On this episode, we discuss what the recent jobs report might mean for the markets and how the Fed might respond with tighter policy. We go deep on the charts and look at some of the bearish pressure on the broader market. Last, we go a bit deeper on oil and why $150/barrel by the end of the Q1 2023 isn't out of the question. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market related and podcast updates : @chartytrades If you enjoyed this episode and want more content like this, please...
Published 08/08/22
On this episode, I decided to focus on the news of the last week and analyze it deeper. This includes what the market implies for rate hikes in September, November and December. We also talk about the many definitions of recession and why everyone is so split on whether we are in one or not. Then, we dive deep into the charts as always and dissect what the price action is telling us. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market related and podcast updates : @chartytrades If you...
Published 08/01/22
This week we start by going over the coming week and how it might be the most important week the stock market has seen in years. We then go in depth on the charts and what I am looking at. Check my latest Instagram post for a visual on this chart. Last we discuss why the Fed is likely to make a policy error and which companies should succeed under both a high and low interest rate environment. We add this gem to our portfolio. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market related and...
Published 07/25/22
On this episode, I start a little differently and give three tips to help traders navigate these wild market conditions. We then cover the economic news and data released over the last week and give some fun statistics. After reviewing the charts for the broader market, we discuss why the market has decided to stop reacting to bad news. Last, we add a large biotech company to the portfolio. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market related and podcast updates : @chartytrades If...
Published 07/19/22
On this tenth episode, we start the normal way by reviewing the charts and discussing what these new levels might mean. I give my guesses on where price action takes us from here. We then review all of the economic data of this last week and talk about the incredibly important month that July is for data. The meat of the show comes from our discussion on the twelve recessions since World War II and why this coming recession resembles something from 2001 rather than a collapse like 2007. Last,...
Published 07/10/22
Today, we start the usual way and discuss the stock market, including what we got right and what we got wrong about last week.  We make some longer term guesses based off of some recent signals. We recap all of the news in the economics world and discuss how the four major asset markets (stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies) are now all saying that a recession is highly likely. We then talk about my GDP theory and the implications of a "U" shaped recovery. Give me a follow on Instagram...
Published 07/04/22
On this episode, we review the wild rally that the markets experienced all around this week and what we might see going forwards. Next, we cover the economic news and notable updates from everything from commodity selloffs to manufacturing declines. We then review our portfolio and the narrowing gap between our performance and the broader market. Last, we criticize the poorly executed Russian sanctions and why they probably backfired. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market...
Published 06/27/22
On this episode of Man vs Market, we start by reviewing this last pullback and why the tide may change in the short-term. We then review the many economic developments and our portfolio thus far! We talk about how we've managed to see green in a time when the market is blood red. Last, we add a position in a company that Berkshire Hathaway owns 8% of. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market related and podcast updates : @chartytrades If you enjoyed this episode and want more...
Published 06/21/22
On this shortened episode due to illness, we start by reviewing the charts and how we absolutely nailed everything this last week! We talk about why these moves happened and what we think can happen going forwards. We then cover the economic news events including the ECB raising rates for the first time in 11 years, May's CPI bringing us gloomy data, and the consumer sentiment reaching all-time lows. Last, we go over our Man vs Market portfolio and how it is dramatically outperforming the...
Published 06/12/22
On today's episode of Man vs Market, I recorded a bunch of different sections in different places as I am on the road, giving slightly different sounds for different parts. So I apologize for that. But we start off by reviewing the stock market and discussing some of the weird price action we saw this week and then make some guesses on what the short-term, midterm and longterm could hold. We then review our portfolio thus far and see what has been outperforming. We cover the jobs report for...
Published 06/05/22
On this week's episode of Man vs Market, we start by reviewing the portfolio so far and how we have outperformed so far. We then review this weird week for the stock market and explain why this rally is justified from a technical perspective. We also make some short-term and mid-term predictions. After reviewing the weekly economic news and the poor data that has come out, we talk about the disturbingly low volatility readings and why there is statistically likely to be more downside in the...
Published 05/29/22
On the third episode of Man vs Market, we start by recapping the recent week in the stock market and give some predictions on the future. We then go over all of the latest economic news, and how this might move the markets further. At the end of the podcast, we go over the ridiculous move that the dollar has made this year so far and explain why this happened, and some of the good and bad side effects. Last, we give a trade idea that might let us take advantage of this once-in-a-generation...
Published 05/22/22
On the second episode of Man vs Market, we take a look at the recent FOMC minutes release and April's Consumer Price Index numbers as well as how and why the market reacted in the way it did. We also make some short term predictions on where we could see prices go. Then, we look at some of the hottest commodity markets of the year thus far and make predictions for what the rest of the 2022 may hold for them. We also talk about the best tickers to play these potential moves. Give me a follow...
Published 05/15/22
On the first episode of Man vs Market, we debunk some of the myths that exist about inflation. We also talk about why we are seeing inflation and what types of inflation there are. At the end, we go over which market sectors tend to not only beat inflation, but also usually outperform the broader market in this phase between a stock market top and an economic top. We also make some bold predictions on what the rest of 2022 might hold. Give me a follow on Instagram for everything market...
Published 05/05/22