When Uncertainty Hides in the Blindspot of Overconfidence
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Today’s episode of Uncertain is about the ways that studies can leave us overconfident and how “just-so stories” can make us feel overly certain about results that are still a work in progress. And sometimes studies get misleading results because of random error or weird samples or study design. But sometimes science gets things wrong because it’s done by humans, and humans are fallible and imperfect.
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More Episodes
On this show, we’ve been talking about uncertainty from a variety of different angles.
We’ve heard how uncertainty can be a spark for creativity and scientific discovery.
We’ve discussed how uncertainty can go unseen and make science really difficult.
And we’ve explored some of the research...
Published 05/01/24
Published 05/01/24
Science is an iterative process. Progress comes from people coming up with ideas that are sort of right and then new evidence and ideas coming in to update them to become even more correct.
Underlying this process is a willingness by scientists to accept that they might be wrong and be open to...
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