Adam Tooze/Shockwave
Listen now
Description
David and Helen talk to Adam Tooze about what we know about the crisis that we didn't know a month ago, and what we still don't have much of a clue about. From fights inside the French government to the fate of the planet, from shale gas to corona bonds, we try to join up the dots. Plus a small update recorded after news of the oil price-drop. Read 'Shockwave' by Adam Tooze in the LRB https://www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v42/n08/adam-tooze/shockwave. Talking Points: The dominant reality is the scale of the unemployment rate, especially in the U.S. - Michigan’s unemployment rate soared to 25% in a single month. - We have often seen an extraordinary policy response.  The Fed’s initial policy response was a failure: they didn’t stabilize share and bond markets. But it has now, at least in part, succeeded. - It also seems to have stabilized dollar funding markets. - The Fed did in about 3 days what took roughly a year in ‘07/’08. - Will these actions make democratic politics more difficult in the medium term? The Fed’s ability to act in certain ways has depended on congressional cooperation.  - This could change if Biden were elected. Trump’s presidency enables the GOP to behave more pragmatically. - The shale industry is being bailed out—this is a tricky issue for the Democratic party. Is data the new oil? - The tensions between Russia and Saudi crashed into the virus.  - It’s hard to see how oil prices will recover any time soon. - Are we entering the oil endgame? If so, seizing market share immediately is much more important.   - The oil and the financial elements of this crisis are closely connected. Has anyone moved the dial on corona bonds? - The Germans didn’t want the question to be put, but the French went ahead and did it. - But Macron’s recent interview with the Financial Times was vague. How serious are they? - How does the Eurozone engage in common borrowing without engaging in common taxation? Mentioned in this Episode: - Our last episode with Adam - David and Helen talking to Nate Silver - Adam’s piece for the LRB on COVID and the global economy  - Macron’s interview with the Financial Times… on YouTube - The transcript of Macron’s FT interview Further Learning:  - 538 on American unemployment numbers - More on ‘coronabonds’ And as ever, recommended reading curated by our friends at the LRB can be found here: lrb.co.uk/talking For information regarding your data privacy, visit acast.com/privacy
More Episodes
UnHerd political editor Tom McTague and Cambridge professor Helen Thompson team up to investigate the history of today’s politics — and what it means for our future. Each week they will explore the great forces, ideas and events that led us to where we are, whether in Britain, the United States,...
Published 05/11/23
Published 05/11/23
Talking Politics producer Catherine Carr returns to her role as mic-wielder in 'Where Are You Going?' a unique storytelling podcast, delivered in bite-size episodes. Called 'utterly compelling and unique' by the Financial Times, 'engrossing' by The Times and 'riveting' by The Spectator. In each...
Published 04/24/23